The general #s I have heard from people in admissions is that across the selective schools anywhere from 80 - 85% of the applicants are students who they believe are "qualified" to be there (Do not immediately got into the reject pile)
I've heard this on several podcasts as well. Also, DCUM loves to obsess about the few URM kids that are admitted, but there are 20 or more different institutional priorities that shape a class. Most of those benefit the groups these schools have always admitted, well resourced, high stat, connected, white kids. If your kid isn't one of those, I agree with PP that your DC should take their shot, but don't get their hopes up.
|