Classic collective action problem. Turns out students had been using the SAT/USNWR to coordinate their behavior. Now that system is breaking down, there’s no coordination. |
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Yeah, I get it - when even likelies/safeties are becoming unpredictable I can see why kids do this, particularly high stars kids that have the profile that could get into some of the top schools, if they apply to a bunch one or two may come through.
It’s not what my kids are going to do but I get the incentives. |
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It is because of TO. Targets are becoming reach schools for top students also, so they are playing the odds - you need to apply to a lot more for the hopes of getting into one.
Get rid of TO, and the numbers will come back down to normal |
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My kid applied to 12 but kids friend applied to 24. Their logic is that since it seems a lottery at selective schools, you have to cast a wide net. Given how unpredictable results have been, I understand that logic. Each college has different institutional priorities and they are all independent. If you are able to put in the essay work, why not?
But… it’s a lot of work to do thoughtful essays for 20+ apps. |
“Get rid of TO” is also a collective action problem, except that it’s the schools who have to coordinate their actions (and it’s illegal for them to do so). |
My kid’s HS limits it to 10. I’m glad because it forces you to do your homework and apply to schools where your kid will get in. No need to waste applications on long shots. |
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Colleges play the same game. They spam kids with emails and letters hoping they apply even though they realistically have no chance of being accepted and then claim a low acceptance percentage. Colby and Tulane send a massive amount of emails and mailings. Similarly, the ones who don’t charge an application fee to get more applications and to improve their stats.
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Every top school is a long shot for every unhooked kid |
This matches what my kid did. SAT in the 1400s and has applied to 13 schools. They're in at their safeties, but so far everything else has been a deferral. Unhooked white kid from NoVa - dime a dozen. |
Not sure. It was on a CC thread, I think '22 Parents, but I didn't see what the outcome was. Seemed excessive to me. |
Just because you apply ED, doesn't mean you only submitted one application. I know of several kids that applied to 15 schools by 11/30, including their 1 ED. ED just requires that you withdraw your other applications if accepted (and that you can't apply to another school ED or Restricted EA). Many kids are applying to top State flagships unrestricted EA by 11/1, and then it is easy to apply to 4-5 UC schools, since it is just 1 application and you check the boxes of the schools in which you are interested. |
But every single year a private mom comes on in spring to say that their gifted kid applied to the 10 max … and got nothing. The counselors get it wrong |
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| These kids are plying ED1 and 2 and EA and claim not to need merit. Posts like I got into UNC and UTexas (both EA) but prefer some from the group of 17 I have yet to hear from. Or I got into ISc EA, but there are 15 schools of the 30 I have yet to hear from that I prefer. They are getting deferred ED though. |
USC not ISc. |