Best admission acceptance likelihood calculator

[Anonymous]

I know the Common Data Set provides the overall numbers for a school, but what calculator to people think is most accurate when you enter a kids’ profile? My kid likely has a better than 5% chance of getting into Vanderbilt being at the 75th percentile for SAT and grades/rigor/ECs, but I don’t know if that number is more like 10% or 20%. The reason for asking is to be more thoughtful about the number of reaches for my kid to apply to.

Some people in previous threads have mentioned CollegeVine. Are there others that are good?

[Anonymous]

Your school counselor.

[Anonymous]

Whether it's 5% or 10% or 20%, it's an unlikely.

You can be more thoughtful about reaches by focusing on your student's actual fit for the institution.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Your school counselor.

At a big public school. Counselor has over 300 students she covers and knows barely anyone well.

[Anonymous]

There are a ton of AI websites that do this now

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I know the Common Data Set provides the overall numbers for a school, but what calculator to people think is most accurate when you enter a kids’ profile? My kid likely has a better than 5% chance of getting into Vanderbilt being at the 75th percentile for SAT and grades/rigor/ECs, but I don’t know if that number is more like 10% or 20%. The reason for asking is to be more thoughtful about the number of reaches for my kid to apply to.

Some people in previous threads have mentioned CollegeVine. Are there others that are good?

Your guidance counselor will have the number of students from your high school who have applied, their gpa/SAT/rigor and their outcome. That's the best calculator.

[Anonymous]

Assuming your SAT is around 1550, Vanderbilt does value that more than other colleges. Your instinct is correct that you have a better chance than 5% admission, but most heuristic models say at best a 3x,4x, 5x chance so 15%-25%.

[Anonymous]

Naviance/SCOIR

Particularly for schools like Vandy which have a preference for certain private schools.

It's hard to say that school's prefer high scores when close to half the class is accepted without scores (as is the case at Vandy).

[Anonymous]

Beyond predicting likelihood of acceptance, certain college admission coaches offer close to guaranteed admission to desired top colleges. There is a well known one quoted in WSJ to guarantee a Harvard admission if student works from an early age with him. From his track record, it seems quite plausible.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Beyond predicting likelihood of acceptance, certain college admission coaches offer close to guaranteed admission to desired top colleges. There is a well known one quoted in WSJ to guarantee a Harvard admission if student works from an early age with him. From his track record, it seems quite plausible.

https://www.wsj.com/us-news/education/ivy-league-college-venture-capital-23dc95fa

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Naviance/SCOIR

Particularly for schools like Vandy which have a preference for certain private schools.

It's hard to say that school's prefer high scores when close to half the class is accepted without scores (as is the case at Vandy).

Which affords the OP's child who got a 1560 that much higher of a chance at admission. The 1560 is a definite advantage. Around 12,000 score that number or higher in the entire world. Of these, how many apply to Vanderbilt?

In Vanderbilt's entire freshman class only 111 freshman scored 1560 or higher. This out of 1,630 freshman overall.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Naviance/SCOIR

Particularly for schools like Vandy which have a preference for certain private schools.

It's hard to say that school's prefer high scores when close to half the class is accepted without scores (as is the case at Vandy).

Which affords the OP's child who got a 1560 that much higher of a chance at admission. The 1560 is a definite advantage. Around 12,000 score that number or higher in the entire world. Of these, how many apply to Vanderbilt?

In Vanderbilt's entire freshman class only 111 freshman scored 1560 or higher. This out of 1,630 freshman overall.

Really!?! That's pretty mid

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Naviance/SCOIR

Particularly for schools like Vandy which have a preference for certain private schools.

It's hard to say that school's prefer high scores when close to half the class is accepted without scores (as is the case at Vandy).

This

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Beyond predicting likelihood of acceptance, certain college admission coaches offer close to guaranteed admission to desired top colleges. There is a well known one quoted in WSJ to guarantee a Harvard admission if student works from an early age with him. From his track record, it seems quite plausible.

https://www.wsj.com/us-news/education/ivy-league-college-venture-capital-23dc95fa

lol
I know so many people regretting paying this company more than six figures. They do nothing. To get the really truly hands-on service you need to play seven figures and then it’s a crapshoot.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Naviance/SCOIR

Particularly for schools like Vandy which have a preference for certain private schools.

It's hard to say that school's prefer high scores when close to half the class is accepted without scores (as is the case at Vandy).

Which affords the OP's child who got a 1560 that much higher of a chance at admission. The 1560 is a definite advantage. Around 12,000 score that number or higher in the entire world. Of these, how many apply to Vanderbilt?

In Vanderbilt's entire freshman class only 111 freshman scored 1560 or higher. This out of 1,630 freshman overall.

Really!?! That's pretty mid

My DC had a 35 and wasn’t even waitlisted. They take a ton of test optional kids.