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If you're interested in Collegevine's Prediction % vs Results, here's how they did for our DC. I've categorized them by the grouping CollegeVine provided to us, based on their % predictions, and I added the results of DC getting in. All were RD decisions. No binding ED rounds.
Reaches: 9% (medium private) - accepted 10% - denied 14% (small private) - accepted 21% - waitlist 25% - waitlist Targets: 29% (large private, EA) - accepted with later start (spring) 30% - waitlist 34% (large private) - accepted with later start (spring) 35% (small private) - accepted 38% (large public) - accepted 64% (medium private, EA) - accepted 72% (large public) - accepted 72% (small private) - accepted 77% (large public) - accepted Safeties: 82% (large private) - accepted [b]92% (large public) - accepted [/b] Our lesson learned was fewer safeties/targets were necessary. We applied to too many schools LOL because it is so unpredictable and we didn't hir a private counselor and were confused about what was possible. All in all, we are very happy! |
| great results OP! |
| Seems like the underpredicted your DC in targets and reaches, but were right on safeties. |
| Thank you so much for this data point! I would love it if people posted similarly. I would have thought not to even waste the money on a 10-20% but maybe that’s bad thinking. Do you feel like your kid had an extra oomph that CV wouldn’t have know about? |
| Stats? Major? |
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My kid applied TO. None was ED, mostly EA, and 2 RD.
Reaches: 24%- waitlisted 19%- rejected 18%- accepted 5%- accepted Target: 54%- accepted Likelies: 80%: accepted (I would've said this was a target) 7 other schools that ranged 94-98%: accepted Obviously she applied to too many likelies but some of them weren't ranked great (like top 150-200) but she was a dual admit with the grad school portion ranked in the top 20. |
| Wouldn't a 30% chance of admission be a reach, not a target? That's a low chance. |
| So where is she going? |
Wow. Can you say the names of the reaches and the major? |
DC is going to one of her reaches (medium size private)! I was sure to put in as many accurate details as I could for her ECs/activities into collegevine, in addition to standardized test and GPA. |
| This is interested b/c when I put my junior's stats in, I felt like College Vine was way too optimistic on his chances. |
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Collegevine was pretty close for my DD.
She got into one reach of her 6. Targets did a little worse than expected. Safeties all acceptances. |
That's where I am right now. Specifically, I've got a boy who wants to go to business school, and I feel like the chances they're showing make sense for the college overall, but not for the school of business. I know it says it does take your major into consideration, but I'm not sure I believe that... |
| Right,I'm getting a 14% chance at William and Mary for a kid with a 3.3 and a 1270 SAT. NO WAY. |
That's where I am right now. Specifically, I've got a boy who wants to go to business school, and I feel like the chances they're showing make sense for the college overall, but not for the school of business. I know it says it does take your major into consideration, but I'm not sure I believe that... |