| If someone starts investing today do you say they will achieve the same return in 20 years as someone who invested 20 years ago? |
| No. If current immigration trends continue for the next 4 years no way our country will grow. And add an aging population to the mix, we are headed for a low growth decade or decades. |
People were extremely pessimistic 10 years ago and look how that worked out |
| It depends on what you mean. Assuming you are talking about stocks (rather than real estate or bonds) On a nominal basis you can expect to do much better. Inflation is here to stay and it’s just going to get worse. But on a real basis in twenty years 5 million is going to be the new 1 million. |
| Nobody knows |
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Way better and not just because economy is going to do better.
We skip the middle man now when we invest. We have more information available to us. We don't pay fees and buy/sell faster than we used to. Hard asset will absorb the money printing and then some. People want to buy up something that won't melt. We don't have endless hard amount hard assets. The ones we do have, will go up. |
+1 No reason to think we will have anything but growth when you look long term. |
10 years ago we were adding more people to the labor force. The share of people 65+ will start increasing significantly. |
| I think we average 9-10% growth a year over the next 20 years. Similar to what it’s always been. |
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Well tech is obviously an overweighted sector at the moment. I suppose if you are very long term you could just throw money at a value small cap fund, and international fund, bond fund and mid cap growth. But I just made
all that up. Bitcoin to the moon! |
| A lot of DINKs which will impact population 20 years from now. |