Buying in MoCo with school boundaries & attainable housing plan

Anonymous
For anyone looking to buy in MoCo — are you concerned about the uncertainty from proposed school boundary changes and the potential for small apartment buildings in single-family neighborhoods?
How do you make a long-term decision when both school assignments and neighborhood character could change so significantly in just a few years?
Anonymous
Wait till the new maps come out. Anyone who says rezoning won’t affect home prices is being disingenuous.
Anonymous
MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?
Anonymous
I don’t care about the zoning but I would care if I bought thinking I was in BCC and then was rezoned for Blair. Nothing against Blair and maybe my kid would end up doing the magnet program, but the commute difference is massive.

I don’t know the word on the new HS they are opening, but that wouldn’t concern me.

Also, I know one area could possibly get rezoned from BCC to Whitman which also wouldn’t be a big deal because the two schools are nearly the same distance already for that area.
Anonymous
I would make sure that your house is close to at least two good private schools as an insurance policy. Also, make sure your any neighborhood that you purchase in has protective covenants that preclude the subdivision of lots and ban multifamily housing units.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Lazy nimby tropes.

Meanwhile not building housing is also changing the character of neighborhoods by making it so huge parts of the population can’t afford to buy a place to live.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Small apartment buildings cause crime?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Small apartment buildings cause crime?


Low income residents are more likely to commit crime. A resident of a household in the bottom 20% of the income distribution is 6.8x as likely to commit a violent crime as a resident in the top 20% of the income distribution. It only a change in the income composition of a neighborhood to substantially increase the crime rate. Example, the current neighborhood income composition is 50% Qunitile5, 40% and Quintile 4, 10% quintile 3. The average violent crime rate for adolescents would be in 2.8 incidents per 1,000 people. If the neighborhood changes to 40% Q5, 40% Q4, 10% Q3, 5% Q2, 5% Q1, the average violent crime rate would increase to 3.53 incidents per 1, people. So the violent crime rate per 1,000 people would increase by 26% from a small change in the income composition.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Ridiculous. I live near downtown Bethesda, where tiny old SFHs are above 1.5M, and the few affordable garden apartments and townhomes have decent people in them. I was friends with one, married with young kids to someone finishing his doctorate. They in no way decrease the character of the neighborhood.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Small apartment buildings cause crime?


Low income residents are more likely to commit crime. A resident of a household in the bottom 20% of the income distribution is 6.8x as likely to commit a violent crime as a resident in the top 20% of the income distribution. It only a change in the income composition of a neighborhood to substantially increase the crime rate. Example, the current neighborhood income composition is 50% Qunitile5, 40% and Quintile 4, 10% quintile 3. The average violent crime rate for adolescents would be in 2.8 incidents per 1,000 people. If the neighborhood changes to 40% Q5, 40% Q4, 10% Q3, 5% Q2, 5% Q1, the average violent crime rate would increase to 3.53 incidents per 1, people. So the violent crime rate per 1,000 people would increase by 26% from a small change in the income composition.


Source for your lies?
Anonymous
Yes, it's impacting us greatly. We live in a townhouse that we're quickly outgrowing. The plan has always been to move to a SFH, and we're fine with paying more money to be zoned for a better school, but we don't want to pay a premium, and then find out 1-2 years later that we're zoned for a school that's not as good.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Small apartment buildings cause crime?


Low income residents are more likely to commit crime. A resident of a household in the bottom 20% of the income distribution is 6.8x as likely to commit a violent crime as a resident in the top 20% of the income distribution. It only a change in the income composition of a neighborhood to substantially increase the crime rate. Example, the current neighborhood income composition is 50% Qunitile5, 40% and Quintile 4, 10% quintile 3. The average violent crime rate for adolescents would be in 2.8 incidents per 1,000 people. If the neighborhood changes to 40% Q5, 40% Q4, 10% Q3, 5% Q2, 5% Q1, the average violent crime rate would increase to 3.53 incidents per 1, people. So the violent crime rate per 1,000 people would increase by 26% from a small change in the income composition.


Source for your lies?


I’m guessing ChatGPT.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:MoCo is already a oretty dense, urbanized county (at least inside the beltway which seems to be where any new apartment buildings would be).

Where are you looking that you think a small apartment building would change the character of a neighborhood?


It would change that character of many neighborhoods, create overcrowding and bring crime.


Lazy nimby tropes.

Meanwhile not building housing is also changing the character of neighborhoods by making it so huge parts of the population can’t afford to buy a place to live.


Plain old lazy trope by you. Offer up your own yard for multi-family.
Anonymous
My spouse and I bought in the suburbs, to live in the suburbs and to send our kid to school in the suburbs. We didn't sign up for the urbanization of the suburbs.

Do we need more missing middle and workforce housing, yes. Put it on the busy corridors (River Road, Old Georgetown Road, Wisconsin Ave, Connecticut Ave, Georgia Ave amd New Hampshire Ave) and near the metro, instead of building million dollar townhouses and luxury condos there. Apartment buildings have no place in the suburbs
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