How has Collegevine been doing?

[Anonymous]

Curious if results have been roughly accurate so far, especially after the algorithm changes which increased chancing percentages. For my DC, in at all safeties (>70%) and low targets (~50%). Deferred early reach. Waiting on Hard Targets (which seem like should be reaches).

[Anonymous]

So far yes. Waiting for hard targets and reaches.

[Anonymous]

I'm skeptical. Has my kid at 40% for Michigan, which doesn't sound right. Applied RD, so we have to wait and see.

[Anonymous]

My daughter has been accepted at all so far (5 schools with probability ranging from 34-69 percent). But no reach decisions yet.

[Anonymous]

College Vine predicted DS would be accepted at Northeastern and he was for Boston. CV chancing him between 17-20% for T10.

Doubtful but optimistic!

[Anonymous]

In at all safeties. CV called UGA and Wisconsin safeties.

In at 42, 45, & 72% targets

Deferred at a 35 & 55% targets.

Denied at 45% target.

Waiting for reach.

[Anonymous]

CV results (note the percentages have changed a lot since the fall - not sure why)

Reach -- In: (26% and 23%). Deferred: 20% (ED1) and 19% (private EA).

Targets -- In (63%, 61%, 57%). Deferred 29%.

Safeties - In everywhere (98%, 96%, 94%, 84%).

A lot of RD to go.

I don't think CV accounts for holistic review as much as they should (major choice especially, ECs etc).

[Anonymous]

CV had DC at a 40% chance of admission at a hard target, suggesting that test scores be submitted despite being below the 25th percentile, with no merit likely. Said there was a 90% chance at a safety with an estimated $8500 in merit.

DC got into the target TO with $30k/year in merit and was deferred from the safety. A handful of other schools did turn out as predicted. So not totally wrong, but not entirely accurate either.

[Anonymous]

In at all safeties. Deferred two targets, in one. In one reach. Waiting on a handful.

[Anonymous]

Collegvine gave MCPS DC a 83% chance of being admitted to UMD. Rejected.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Collegvine gave MCPS DC a 83% chance of being admitted to UMD. Rejected.

DC was admitted from a W with those same odds.

[Anonymous]

Ok so it’s a joke

[Anonymous]

It said that Michigan, UVA and UCLA are all targets for my TO DD, which I did not believe.
So far, deferred at UMich, denied and UVA and we will see about UCLA

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Ok so it’s a joke

Not entirely. Just not to be trusted when coming from a large high performing public high school and applying to the state flagship. Collegevine takes state but not county or high school into account and the standards are different.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Ok so it’s a joke

Not entirely. Just not to be trusted when coming from a large high performing public high school and applying to the state flagship. Collegevine takes state but not county or high school into account and the standards are different.

I think it is an interesting ballpark on odds. But if your school sends 1 kid a year to Harvard, it depends on how many from your school apply. You may get 33% odds from Collegevine, but that won't trump.