Algorithmic theory of mind

[Anonymous]

Scrolling through sam.gov gives interesting insight into what the administration wants to fund. Here is one:

Kallisti seeks to develop an algorithmic theory of mind to model adversaries’ situational awareness and predict future behavior including the belief of an adversary in the state of the environment, an adversary’s risk and reward structures, and the strategies an adversary uses to attempt to project future states that achieve desired end states. The program seeks to combine algorithms with human expertise to explore, in a modeling and simulation environment, potential courses of action in national security scenarios with far greater breadth and efficiency than is currently possible, enabling deterrence and compellence. See instructions in section 1.3 to request the Controlled Unclassified Information (CUI) addendum for further program information.

Kallisti is a 30-month single-phase program organized into three sprints of 12 months, 6 months, and 12 months. DARPA anticipates selecting multiple performers. Performers must reach the goals and metrics of a Sprint to move to the next Sprint.

[Anonymous]

https://sam.gov/opp/bbeff9e0a5f447c9904141a0aceb023e/view

The FBI is currently conducting market research on biometric matching algorithms for: (1) tenprint, (2) latent fingerprint, (3) face, and (4) iris. These algorithms support three distinct modalities: fingerprint, face, and iris. The FBI is inviting industry to submit their algorithms, for these three distinct modalities, to the NIST biometric vendor testing platforms. The results will inform strategic business decisions made by the FBI as it relates to the existing NGI System algorithms.

[Anonymous]

Fed talk for "propaganda work".

https://sam.gov/opp/39bdacdd858e460f972a2a976db6dc62/view

Musk should bid that contract and then send in a copy of the order Putin gave him.

[Anonymous]

That second post had nothing to do with the first. But in any event, what is the point OP? It seems like a good idea. I was always surprised that in IR it has always been believed that it is impossible to predict future actions of other states, adversarial or not. I was just wondering as I was reading about the reemergence of the realist theories why, in this machine learning age, we can't better predict through algorithms what states will likely do.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Scrolling through sam.gov gives interesting insight into what the administration wants to fund. Here is one:

Kallisti seeks to develop an algorithmic theory of mind to model adversaries’ situational awareness and predict future behavior including the belief of an adversary in the state of the environment, an adversary’s risk and reward structures, and the strategies an adversary uses to attempt to project future states that achieve desired end states. The program seeks to combine algorithms with human expertise to explore, in a modeling and simulation environment, potential courses of action in national security scenarios with far greater breadth and efficiency than is currently possible, enabling deterrence and compellence. See instructions in section 1.3 to request the Controlled Unclassified Information (CUI) addendum for further program information.

Kallisti is a 30-month single-phase program organized into three sprints of 12 months, 6 months, and 12 months. DARPA anticipates selecting multiple performers. Performers must reach the goals and metrics of a Sprint to move to the next Sprint.

The government was already doing this 30 years ago when I interviewed with a government contractor. The asked me if I had a problem with any potential work that I did being used to kill people. Yeah, they were pretty blunt about it.

I guess some programs never die.