College Vine Chances

[Anonymous]

If you used CV last year and your kid got into a reach, what % chance did your kid have?

[Anonymous]

Class of '24 child got into a reach that CV put at a 19% chance (school's admission rate is usually closer to 9-11% generally).

All the other reaches were chanced at 15% or lower. Kid was WLed at one of them, rejected from the rest.

[Anonymous]

‘24 male.

CV Reaches:

9% chance. Admitted.
7% chance. WL.
17% chance. WL.
20% chance. WL.
Rejected at all other reaches (6%-19%)

[Anonymous]

My kid had excellent ECs, SAT, GPA, curriculum etc. And CV basically said that as an Indian-American male his chances are low.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My kid had excellent ECs, SAT, GPA, curriculum etc. And CV basically said that as an Indian-American male his chances are low.

They are low for everyone. What schools and what are the chances?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My kid had excellent ECs, SAT, GPA, curriculum etc. And CV basically said that as an Indian-American male his chances are low.

CV asks race???

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My kid had excellent ECs, SAT, GPA, curriculum etc. And CV basically said that as an Indian-American male his chances are low.

CV asks race???

NP. My understanding is that CV removed race from the algorithm last summer. You can play around with that and see.

[Anonymous]

My DC got into two where chances were less than 20% but those were T30 SLACs and DC did not apply to the very tippy top schools. The VERY surprising part is he got rejected or waitlisted from two in the 90%+ safety category!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My kid had excellent ECs, SAT, GPA, curriculum etc. And CV basically said that as an Indian-American male his chances are low.

CV asks race???

In the profile section on the CV site, if you hover over the student's race, the site says "Race and ethnicity are no longer factored into your chances."

[Anonymous]

Did the algorithm change in the past few days? Some of the chance #s look lower than they were last week. Maybe I'm just not remembering correctly...

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:‘24 male.

CV Reaches:

9% chance. Admitted.
7% chance. WL.
17% chance. WL.
20% chance. WL.
Rejected at all other reaches (6%-19%)

How many reaches did your DC apply to?

[Anonymous]

Is CV more accurate than Naviance, in your experience?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Is CV more accurate than Naviance, in your experience?

In what way? Naviance's scattergrams can provide useful data points for prior applicants from your high school.

However, Naviance's reach, match, safety designations are complete trash. It's hard to overstate how incorrect they are. They typically fail to account for low acceptance rates and accordingly can designate ultra-reaches, which are reaches for all applicants, as matches for high stats applicants. Failure of admissions professionalism over at Naviance.

So, CollegeVine is at least slightly better because it accounts for acceptance rates in its algorithm.