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From the WSJ AI Conference:
Earlier Tuesday, Vinod Khosla, a prominent venture capitalist whose firm was one of OpenAI’s earliest backers, laid out a stark timeline for AI’s transformation of work. Within 10 years AI will be able to “do 80% of 80% of all jobs that we know of today,” said Khosla, a tech investor and entrepreneur for more than 40 years. He pointed to many types of physicians and accountants as examples of professions that AI could largely supplant because these systems can more easily access a broad array of knowledge. Khosla likened the extent of the workforce changes to the disappearance of agricultural jobs in the U.S. in the 20th Century—a transition that took place over generations, not years. |
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Ohh come on - your major doesn't matter.
Learn something, anything, and hopefully college develops our kids' minds and helps them be flexible and new thinkers. How many of you are working in the field related to your college major? Not me.... |
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AI should not change your kid’s process at all.
Society will adapt to AI, but the path that will take cannot be known. You sound like someone who catastrophizes (and looks for things to worry about). |
Would it reduce the need for anesthesiologists? |
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According to Mark Cuban, philosophy.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/02/20/mark-cuban-philosophy-degree-will-be-worth-more-than-computer-science.html |
I would say if you are considering pre-med and medical school...perhaps you need to think again as current freshmen will essentially become doctors in 10 years. |
I don't follow your point - sorry to be dense -- does AI impact pre-med path? |
Look at OP's post. Physicians/doctors are specifically referenced as a vulnerable profession, with the 10 year timeline. |
| I think AI could do many of the jobs now. But society is not ready for it. If people are not working, that will be a major upheaval in the world as we know it. Think about your day; if you and your spouse didn’t have a structured job/career. Sounds great at first, but I’d go nuts. |
I would like to know as well since my niece became one 3 years ago. |
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Ultimately AIs are tools. So it's not so much that the job goes away but that one individual can do more by using these tools. Lower skill, repetitive jobs will be reduced most. For others it changes what you can do. And of course you need people to build the tools.
For the anesthesiologist example I could envision that in future you still need them but perhaps one can monitor multiple surgeries at once using these tools but maybe there is a new role for anesthesiologist tech in each room. |
I would absolutely think it will since their work can be automated, although anyone involved with an actual operation is likely a bit more secure for the time being. Radiologists, clinicians, general physicians, etc. anyone not involved in surgery will be impacted first, but eventually even more precise AI-powered machines could replace human doctors in the operating room. It won't replace them all, but where you might now hire 10, you will now only need 3 to have a human at the "controls" to step in if needed. |
Which, given the shortage of doctors and space in med schools + an aging population, is a good thing. We're already seeing things like rural areas only having doctors via telemedicine where the local nurse or PA does the basics and brings in the doctor via teleconference as needed. |
Only if you can redeploy say a radiologist to now become a gerontologist because there are too many radiologists. Maybe that is a relatively easy thing to do. |
Yea and outcomes for these people are worse than ever. |