APS Overcrowding - In 3 years it’s projected to start declining

[Anonymous]

APS projects that in 3 years student population will peak and start heading downward, and in 10 years return to 2016 levels. Assume this is why they don’t want 4th high school.

But how does this happen? With Amazon, missing middle housing, why do they think student population will shrink? Is their assumption all this multi-unit housing will house zero kids? Does anyone have insight? Our kid enters high school right around the peak, so it better go down or it will be at shtshow at WL.

https://www.apsva.us/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Fall-2021-Enrollment-Projections-Report.pdf

[Anonymous]

The flight to private school.

[Anonymous]

Read the report you linked to. It will tell you.

[Anonymous]

Where would they put a new high school?

[Anonymous]

Is it because no one wants to live next to an 8 plex?

[Anonymous]

APS admin isn't known for its ability to do math.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Read the report you linked to. It will tell you.

Births are declining, and they are projecting that this trend will continue. I'm not surprised. High density plus high rents equals more dogs, fewer children.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Read the report you linked to. It will tell you.

It is usually good practice to read a document before asking questions about that document.

[Anonymous]

When I purchased my house in 2007, "they" said the same damn thing. Turned out to be a very wrong analysis and we are living with it now.

What's the proof? All the buildings? That doesn't make sense.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:APS admin isn't known for its ability to do math.[/quote

Yup. The dip is because of Covid and people sending their kid to private. We won’t acknowledge this until it’s too late.

[Anonymous]

Y’all whine and complain too much.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Read the report you linked to. It will tell you.

Births are declining, and they are projecting that this trend will continue. I'm not surprised. High density plus high rents equals more dogs, fewer children.

Well that is BS. Many families have babies in DC and move to Arlington for school. How do they even report births? If my kid is born in DC, does a DC hospital mail the county?

So in short, they are crafting the data to allow them to do nothing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:APS admin isn't known for its ability to do math.

Or plan well.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:APS admin isn't known for its ability to do math.

Or plan well.

What is their contingency if we don’t get population turnaround?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:APS admin isn't known for its ability to do math.

Or plan well.

What is their contingency if we don’t get population turnaround?

If the population grows instead? Virtual. They already wanted to offer virtual before the pandemic, too bad they already proved they can't pull that one off.