So why would you want to elect a former Governor? One whose CoS was killed fleeing the FBI? |
Nothing about that case had anything to do with Hogan. But it’s a great intro to the fact that Angela Alsobrooks political mentor in PG County was none other than Jack Johnson. |
A federal law guaranteeing the right to abortion would override state prohibitions. Likewise a federal law banning abortion (which republican candidates have promised) would put states like Maryland in the same position as Idaho |
She's an obese diabetic. She's at least as much of a gamble lasting through a republican administration as RBG was |
First question, Obama promised to introduce a bill to legalize Roe as the first thing he was going to do when taking office. He did not. There was full Democratic control of the White House and both chambers of Congress? Second question, why hasn’t a bill been introduced in the current Democratic controlled Senate and reported out of committee at least so that it would have a procedural vote on cloture that would do the same? The reality is that you want to blame a future Hogan Senator for theoretical and hypothetical outcomes while not bothering to ask a single question of Democrats about why they haven’t used the powers they have been given in the past and currently to advance abortion rights. The answer is that Democrats don’t want to and it’s not fair to blame a future Senator Hogan for the failures of Democrats past and present. Furthermore, Republicans have zero interest in banning abortion nationwide legislatively because they don’t need to with the courts. And getting to the courts, that’s already done and dusted. Democrats lost that battle. Hogan is obviously not responsible for the 6-3. |
So the answer is to keep voting myopically until the Supreme Court has 9 conservatives and 0 liberals? |
You have just described the Democrats legislative and court strategy on abortion rights. Hogan will have zero influence on outcomes that the Democrats are achieving on their own. |
It seems to me that the Supreme Court became conservative enough to overturn Roe v Wade because shortsighted moderate Democrats voted for too many Larry Hogans over the years who gradually and incrementally shifted the Supreme Court to a 6-3 conservative majority. If anyone wants to know what got us to this point, that’s it. If they had voted strategically and considered the long-term implications, we wouldn’t be here. |
Polls show both Alsobrooks and Trone ahead of Hogan in a head to head. |
Which polls? Every poll that has been published to date by reputable outlets like the Baltimore Sun and Baltimore Banner show Hogan beating both, but having a harder time with Trone than Alsobrooks. |
Interesting. I have only seen polls with Hogan maintaining a solid lead. But I do suspect the polls will tighten after the primary and that either D has a good chance. Hogan is popular and also has a good chance, but I think it’s a very tall order for that many crossover votes in a presidential election. Maryland, interestingly enough, is the only state where Biden has been consistently above water in popularity. Maryland voters - which, like it or not, are highly concentrated between I-495, I-95, and I-270, LOVE Biden for what he is: an establishment Democrat. Hogan’s popularity vs. Maryland’s partisan leaning is fairly evenly matched. I would still say slight edge to the Democrats because the informed voter base is not going to send an R to the Senate. My guess will be D+2 in the end. |
In 2018, Hogan won reelection 55-45. In 2020, Biden won Maryland 65-35. Lots of voters are more than comfortable voting for both Hogan and Biden without flinching. |
FWIW I’m one of those voters. Governor is low risk, which I understood. The United States Senate is completely different. It’s a team game and the stakes are much much higher. There’s no chance I would for Hogan as senator. I assume other Democrats feel similarly but I guess we’ll find out on Election Day. |
I’m also one of the voters and will be voting Hogan. Ever since Murkowski retired, Maryland has not had Senators that have been out to aggressively serve the state of Maryland. You can see what a difference engaged Senators make for a state when you see Kaine and Warner going to the mat every day for Virginia. If we want Maryland to be a success we need to vote for people committed to making Maryland successful. Hogan has been that person and will continue to have to be that person representing us in the Senate. You cannot say the same at all for Alsobrooks or Trone. |
So we shouldn’t worry about the Trump SC justice Hogan will confirm who will serve for the next half century? |