Anonymous
Post 07/18/2020 06:49     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:More from Alaska.

ALASKA.



Anonymous
Post 07/18/2020 02:37     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
More from Alaska.

ALASKA.

Anonymous
Post 07/17/2020 15:20     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Posted in another thread. Thanks, whoever you are.


Thank you! That’s actually a much more informative chart than the one I posted in the House thread.
Anonymous
Post 07/17/2020 14:49     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Posted in another thread. Thanks, whoever you are.

Anonymous
Post 07/17/2020 11:31     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Thursday, 2pm Eastern.

Put it all together, and Biden currently1 leads Trump by an average of 9.1 percentage points, according to the FiveThirtyEight national polling average, which isn’t all that different from Biden’s lead one week ago (9.6 points) or even one month ago (9.3 points). https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/yes-biden-has-a-big-lead-but-its-probably-not-15-points/
Anonymous
Post 07/16/2020 16:37     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 19:14     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Were we this focused on individual state polling in 2016?


Not as much and look what happened. Hence more attention being paid now.


People also liked the models: 538's projection that Clinton had a 90%+ chance of winning. Disregard those. Sometimes things that have a 1 in 10 chance DO happen.


He gave Trump a 30%-ish chance on Election Day, fwiw. I do expect polls will start to tighten in the weeks leading up to the election.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 18:30     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Were we this focused on individual state polling in 2016?


Not as much and look what happened. Hence more attention being paid now.


People also liked the models: 538's projection that Clinton had a 90%+ chance of winning. Disregard those. Sometimes things that have a 1 in 10 chance DO happen.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 18:16     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Brutal.

I guess the base is eroding.

I don’t think so. More like hardening up. Like candy boiled too long, that stuff is way past hard crack. I don’t say this in Donnie’s defense; his base will be with him till they’re charred on the bottom of the pot.

Still it’s nice to see some of the support softening.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 17:23     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
NBC/WSJ has Biden 51 - Trump 40
42% of voters approve of Trump, 56% disapprove
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 16:27     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Were we this focused on individual state polling in 2016?


Not as much and look what happened. Hence more attention being paid now.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 16:12     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Were we this focused on individual state polling in 2016?
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 15:56     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Man, this is quite a day.


Great news.

Get out the vote.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 15:48     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Brutal.

I guess the base is eroding.
Anonymous
Post 07/15/2020 15:42     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Man, this is quite a day.