Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

Which poll should be believe?

If you are a Democrat you believe the polls that show Hillary ahead.

If you are a Republican you believe the ones that show Trump ahead.

I am being facetious but the reality is that is how people react on this forum.

If you are smart you believe an aggregate poll and statistical model used by Nate Silver or NYT or Market predictors.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

Which poll should be believe?

If you are a Democrat you believe the polls that show Hillary ahead.

If you are a Republican you believe the ones that show Trump ahead.

I am being facetious but the reality is that is how people react on this forum.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

Which poll should be believe?

The aggregate polling is the most reliable.

Here is rating the quality of the polls themselves, the methodology used to rate them and the data used to derive the ratings. If you are smart, crunch the data and feel free to check if liberal Nate Silver is cheating.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

I have my cutoff at B+. Anybody lower is not worth it. Some of you may be fine with the B- and lower.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

Which poll should be believe?

The aggregate polling is the most reliable.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

Which poll should be believe?

Anonymous wrote:http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Yes, the pool a disproportionate number of Republicans. Rasmussen is usually ignored.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/294099-poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-1-nationwide

Rasmussen has Trump leading Hillary by a point in a 4-way. Is their methodology different from the others?

Anonymous wrote:Look! Trump's new strategy is working wonders! He has closed the polling gap with Clinton. It's gonna be yuuuuge!

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3758278/Polling-shock-Trump-closes-gap-Hillary-just-three-percentage-points-one-poll-ONE-point-another.html

Head over to the swing state polls thread and see if you can take it.

Look! Trump's new strategy is working wonders! He has closed the polling gap with Clinton. It's gonna be yuuuuge!

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3758278/Polling-shock-Trump-closes-gap-Hillary-just-three-percentage-points-one-poll-ONE-point-another.html

Anonymous wrote:I love that Trump is quoting this poll- just a week ago his surrogates were saying polls don't matter. Then again, I stopped trying to apply logic to that shit show a long time ago.

I think Trump was just being sarcastic, except when he isn't. Then he's just your average ignoramus.

I love that Trump is quoting this poll- just a week ago his surrogates were saying polls don't matter. Then again, I stopped trying to apply logic to that shit show a long time ago.

Yahoooooooooo!!!!!!!!!

Happy dance!!!!!

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Holy cow! Trump is once again leading Clinton in this poll, almost uniformly at odds with all other polls. What gives?

All the other polls use more democrats (10 -20% more) than republicans. USC/LA daily tracking randomly picked voters from a pool.

The polls "use more democrats" because there ARE more registered Democrats than registered Republicans in the U.S.

Anonymous wrote:Holy cow! Trump is once again leading Clinton in this poll, almost uniformly at odds with all other polls. What gives?

All the other polls use more democrats (10 -20% more) than republicans. USC/LA daily tracking randomly picked voters from a pool.

Anonymous wrote:Holy cow! Trump is once again leading Clinton in this poll, almost uniformly at odds with all other polls. What gives?

They must be using the same people who tried to get the brexit