Anonymous wrote:These numbers are mostly made up I think. Certainly not representative of the majority of folks. Most people would be lucky to have $500,000 when they retire.
Anonymous wrote:We just crossed it, this morning, based on this market price advance. (Investment portfolio, not counting house.)
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The 3/4% percent “rule” is based on zero growth upon retirement. Basically, moving all investments to cash upon retirement. Its simple at best but a foolish strategy
This is incorrect.
The 4% rule assumes a portfolio, typically invested in 50% stocks and 50% bonds, will achieve an average annual return that exceeds inflation by roughly 3 to 4%.
If you move your investments to cash, then as inflation rises your money isn't keeping up with inflation, giving you less buying power over your remaining years.
Yes. Example: run a 3M cash portfolio through Firecalc. 3M starting balance in cash earning nothing. 120K annual spend over 30 years at 3% inflation. It shows 0% chance of success.
Anonymous wrote:Congrats, OP!
Some thoughts from Succession, ha.
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Anonymous wrote:Thats considered low by today’s standards.Anonymous wrote:We plan to retire at $3.5M, for a comfortable $100k/year.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The 3/4% percent “rule” is based on zero growth upon retirement. Basically, moving all investments to cash upon retirement. Its simple at best but a foolish strategy
This is incorrect.
The 4% rule assumes a portfolio, typically invested in 50% stocks and 50% bonds, will achieve an average annual return that exceeds inflation by roughly 3 to 4%.
If you move your investments to cash, then as inflation rises your money isn't keeping up with inflation, giving you less buying power over your remaining years.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We just crossed it, this morning, based on this market price advance. (Investment portfolio, not counting house.)
That is nice. But I just heard you now need ten million to retire. It is a big milestone. But what gets me mad is I was told when did my first 401k if I hit one million I could retire rich!!, then around 10 years ago Suzie Orman started pushing you really need 5 million to retire. Ok, I get it inflation. Now in the last year or so people are pushing you need 10 million. They are staying 5 million is ok if you are 65 today but a 45 year old person will need at least 10 million by the time they retire.
When does it stop? I guess kids in college today will need 20 million to retire.
These people are idiots. Anyone who thinks you need $10M to retire is bad at math.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We just crossed it, this morning, based on this market price advance. (Investment portfolio, not counting house.)
That is nice. But I just heard you now need ten million to retire. It is a big milestone. But what gets me mad is I was told when did my first 401k if I hit one million I could retire rich!!, then around 10 years ago Suzie Orman started pushing you really need 5 million to retire. Ok, I get it inflation. Now in the last year or so people are pushing you need 10 million. They are staying 5 million is ok if you are 65 today but a 45 year old person will need at least 10 million by the time they retire.
When does it stop? I guess kids in college today will need 20 million to retire.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The 3/4% percent “rule” is based on zero growth upon retirement. Basically, moving all investments to cash upon retirement. Its simple at best but a foolish strategy
This is incorrect.
The 4% rule assumes a portfolio, typically invested in 50% stocks and 50% bonds, will achieve an average annual return that exceeds inflation by roughly 3 to 4%.
If you move your investments to cash, then as inflation rises your money isn't keeping up with inflation, giving you less buying power over your remaining years.