Instead of trying to predict a precise price target, it is more useful to think in terms of ranges tied to real-world developments.
Contained disruption ($90–$110 WTI). If the current disruption proves temporary and shipping through the Strait resumes relatively quickly, the current price spike could fade as the previously expected 2026 supply surplus reasserts itself.
Structural shock ($110–$130 WTI). If disruptions persist for several weeks—through tanker strikes, infrastructure damage, or prolonged insurance withdrawals—the market will begin pricing in a sustained supply risk.
Severe disruption ($140+ WTI). This scenario would likely require a major escalation, such as significant damage to key processing facilities in Saudi Arabia or the UAE. At that point the market would be driven less by trading sentiment and more by a global scramble for physical barrels. At that point, we really don’t know how high oil prices might rise, but at some point, they will trigger an economic response.
Anonymous wrote:Last 2 week was $2.70 now $3.40 — Up 70 cents.
My little sedan take 10 gallons per fill, so it is $7 up per fill.
Fill up about twice a week.
It is up about $60 per month if the price not raise further.
(Northern VA)
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Last 2 week was $2.70 now $3.40 — Up 70 cents.
My little sedan take 10 gallons per fill, so it is $7 up per fill.
Fill up about twice a week.
It is up about $60 per month if the price not raise further.
(Northern VA)
I just went to the grocery store. I got the same things I got last week and it was like 15-20% more expensive.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Last 2 week was $2.70 now $3.40 — Up 70 cents.
My little sedan take 10 gallons per fill, so it is $7 up per fill.
Fill up about twice a week.
It is up about $60 per month if the price not raise further.
(Northern VA)
I just went to the grocery store. I got the same things I got last week and it was like 15-20% more expensive.
Anonymous wrote:Last 2 week was $2.70 now $3.40 — Up 70 cents.
My little sedan take 10 gallons per fill, so it is $7 up per fill.
Fill up about twice a week.
It is up about $60 per month if the price not raise further.
(Northern VA)
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Hope gas goes to $10 per gallon. That is all Trump supporters care about. Maybe it will wake them up?
this
Anonymous wrote:Hope gas goes to $10 per gallon. That is all Trump supporters care about. Maybe it will wake them up?