Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:27     Subject: Re:2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:Trump is ahead in Virgina too!


Does not matter.

Trump always gets big lead in VA, then the lead evaporates as votes come in from Fairfax and Arlington counties later in the evening.

Depends on how much he has run up the number so the south and turn our in the north.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:27     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Exit polls show abortion was opposite this time as it was overestimated by a lot in the polls, with the economy being the most important
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:26     Subject: Re:2024 Election Results

Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:26     Subject: 2024 Election Results

I don't know what to think about these CNN exit polls
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:26     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:Seventy one percent of North Carolinians are dissatisfied with Biden’s economy according to exit polls.


Is the economy really that bad?
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:25     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:This is really a big movement, Manu. Not only do our early exit polls show Trump so far winning among GA independent voters, it's a bigger share of the the vote there. CNN Dana Bash


Exit polls are absolutely meaningless.


If it was favorable for Harris you wouldn’t be saying that.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:25     Subject: Re:2024 Election Results

Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:25     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:ignore exit polls as it doesn't include early vote which has been significant.

only look at actual results.

Yes, but didn’t the republicans get the big early voters out.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:25     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Trump wins Indiana and Kentucky. Harris wins Vermont
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:Yeah there’s no way we’re knowing tonight, not with the problems that have been reported and how the polls are having to stay open late in PA. Gone are the Obama and even Bush 04 days when we knew by midnight!


Bush v. Gore 2000 was also a nail biter! those damn butterfly ballots (misleading for gore voters to punch mistakenly for buchanan) and hanging chads ...
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:Bush 2004 it was not known in the early morning.

But it looked bad for Kerry.


I have vague memories of our “watch party” turning it off around midnight because we knew Bush would win, but maybe the networks hadn’t announced anything yet and it was just our prediction.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:This is really a big movement, Manu. Not only do our early exit polls show Trump so far winning among GA independent voters, it's a bigger share of the the vote there. CNN Dana Bash


Exit polls are absolutely meaningless.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Seventy one percent of North Carolinians are dissatisfied with Biden’s economy according to exit polls.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: Re:2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:Trump is ahead in Virgina too!


Means nothing. Good lord you people.
Anonymous
Post 11/05/2024 19:24     Subject: 2024 Election Results

Anonymous wrote:A number of precincts in Georgia are still open because of false bomb threats, including several in the Atlanta suburbs. Voting is still
Happening. Don’t get out of line.

Independents seem to have swung heavily to Trump in GA, according to CNN.