Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of what any results show, Trump will claim victory on election night.

The lawsuits will start on Wednesday. If Trump is losing, I expect violence.

The first two, but not the third. I do not expect gang or mob violence from either side. There has never been political violence from the left after an election, and the right learned its lesson when the Jan 6 rioters went to jail. The risk is lone wolves targeting election workers, law enforcement or politicians.

But yes, a battle in words and in the courts, definitely.

This. MAGA is mostly all hat, no cattle.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

This is some next level cope. Who would you suggest was placing bets on these markets in August and September, you know when Harris was up in the online betting markets?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Are you posting from some methy village where Online Gambler is on most of your neighbor’s LinkedIn profiles?

Look. Most of us don’t bet on anything. Do you understand what dispositive means? Do you think things through? You’re making irrational connections, sir. Should you reconsider your retirement and your posting habits here?

I am sure that is true of DCUM. According to a recent survey, 40% of Americans bet on sports--probably none of them on DCUM.

Betting on election outcomes is no different, and the election betting sites attract the type of people who bet on sports. If you are a more than casual participant, you bet on who you think will win, not who you wish would win. Bettors are in it for the monetary payoff.

Betting on election outcomes is very different than betting on sports. It was only legalized this month, for example.

How is it different?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Listen genius, millions of Harris voters are not placing on line bets. They never have and they likely never will. But their votes count just like the bros betting on Trump.

Such a genius like yourself would know that no registered voter is placing these bets in these markets because it’s not legal in the us

NP. Kalshi is legal in the US. Similar odds to polymarket.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Are you posting from some methy village where Online Gambler is on most of your neighbor’s LinkedIn profiles?

Look. Most of us don’t bet on anything. Do you understand what dispositive means? Do you think things through? You’re making irrational connections, sir. Should you reconsider your retirement and your posting habits here?

I am sure that is true of DCUM. According to a recent survey, 40% of Americans bet on sports--probably none of them on DCUM.

Betting on election outcomes is no different, and the election betting sites attract the type of people who bet on sports. If you are a more than casual participant, you bet on who you think will win, not who you wish would win. Bettors are in it for the monetary payoff.

Betting on election outcomes is very different than betting on sports. It was only legalized this month, for example.

Untrue. Predictit has been around for a number of years.

Trump seeks.meetimg with Harris and tells her that if she agrees to pardon him for any and all crimes he committed or may have committed freedom m 2026 to 2024, he will announce that she won, fair and square.

She laughs and tells him that you this meeting has been videoed and will be lead topic on every news show. Jack Smith then Pops in and smiling at Trump says, "See you in court.".

Trump knows that his goose is cooked and he starts crying and gets down in his knees and begs for a pardon because he's already tried to find a country with no extradition treaty with the US that will accept him to no avail. Justice has finally caught him.

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Anonymous wrote:I think the inner cities will riot if Harris loses.

Unlikely. Based on early vote returns, they seem to be pretty indifferent about this election.

Yep. But people in places like Park Slope will lose their minds.

I have a friend who’s a pastor there and she agrees. Not that it will be violent, but that her congregants will be upset.

Lololol. Dude. Your pastor friend in Park Slope is likely presuming that Harris wins and is thrilled.

No, she’s worried he’s going to win, like most Democrats are. Most Republicans are swaggering around with no idea that the difference between them in every swing state is within the margin of error so it’s basically a coin flip that could go either way, but she and I and every other Democrat I know is nervous.

No. I live in that neighborhood and am out and about daily and no, there is not a generalized fear by Democrats that ‘he’s going to win.’ There’s much more optimism, tinged with concern that he -could- win. You’re painting a bleaker picture for your own jollies IMO.

Stop telling me what my friend thinks. I had a conversation with her about this last weekend. She’ll be needed even more if everyone there is confident she’ll win and she doesn’t.

I’m not there, btw, I’m in DC.

I didn’t tell you what your friend thinks. Learn to read, honey.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think the inner cities will riot if Harris loses.

Unlikely. Based on early vote returns, they seem to be pretty indifferent about this election.

Yep. But people in places like Park Slope will lose their minds.

I have a friend who’s a pastor there and she agrees. Not that it will be violent, but that her congregants will be upset.

Lololol. Dude. Your pastor friend in Park Slope is likely presuming that Harris wins and is thrilled.

No, she’s worried he’s going to win, like most Democrats are. Most Republicans are swaggering around with no idea that the difference between them in every swing state is within the margin of error so it’s basically a coin flip that could go either way, but she and I and every other Democrat I know is nervous.

No. I live in that neighborhood and am out and about daily and no, there is not a generalized fear by Democrats that ‘he’s going to win.’ There’s much more optimism, tinged with concern that he -could- win. You’re painting a bleaker picture for your own jollies IMO.

Stop telling me what my friend thinks. I had a conversation with her about this last weekend. She’ll be needed even more if everyone there is confident she’ll win and she doesn’t.

I’m not there, btw, I’m in DC.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Listen genius, millions of Harris voters are not placing on line bets. They never have and they likely never will. But their votes count just like the bros betting on Trump.

Such a genius like yourself would know that no registered voter is placing these bets in these markets because it’s not legal in the us

So your hot take is that a bunch of mangy gamblers elsewhere in the world are right about the outcome, no shorting, no betting strategies, just they’re all right? Lol

Just because someone placed a bet doesn't mean they are right. In fact they are usually wrong, that's precisely how casinos make money, because the odds are more likely to be against your bet and the house makes money.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I think the inner cities will riot if Harris loses.

Unlikely. Based on early vote returns, they seem to be pretty indifferent about this election.

Yep. But people in places like Park Slope will lose their minds.

I have a friend who’s a pastor there and she agrees. Not that it will be violent, but that her congregants will be upset.

Lololol. Dude. Your pastor friend in Park Slope is likely presuming that Harris wins and is thrilled.

No, she’s worried he’s going to win, like most Democrats are. Most Republicans are swaggering around with no idea that the difference between them in every swing state is within the margin of error so it’s basically a coin flip that could go either way, but she and I and every other Democrat I know is nervous.

No. I live in that neighborhood and am out and about daily and no, there is not a generalized fear by Democrats that ‘he’s going to win.’ There’s much more optimism, tinged with concern that he -could- win. You’re painting a bleaker picture for your own jollies IMO.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Listen genius, millions of Harris voters are not placing on line bets. They never have and they likely never will. But their votes count just like the bros betting on Trump.

Such a genius like yourself would know that no registered voter is placing these bets in these markets because it’s not legal in the us

So your hot take is that a bunch of mangy gamblers elsewhere in the world are right about the outcome, no shorting, no betting strategies, just they’re all right? Lol

Gamblers are never wrong! Trump has it in the bag! /s

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

Betting markets are not polls. That's people guessing. No one placing bets actually knows. That's like saying "well the GOP has won in 8 out of 12 elections where temperatures in Alaska reach at least 60 degrees the Thursday before the election." It's meaningless.

538 and every other major polling aggregator have the race within the margin of error. Saying Trump is "up" in these polling averages when he's leading by 1 points and the margin of error is 3.5 means nothing. The race is tied.

Looking at pulling averages for national polls is similarly fairly meaningless data, especially in a tight race. If either candidate were up by 5 or more then that might be compelling. If it's within the margin the focus should be in swing states and the electoral college.

Regarding early vote-- we have no actual vote totals. Only numbers based on party affiliation. I agree the early vote has had some positive signs for the GOP, especially in NV. But will NV matter un the electoral college? It's only 6 electoral votes. The early vote has not been as positive in other states.

Right now if Harris won the swing states she currently leads in polling averages from 538, she would win. If she wins MI, PA, WI she wins even if she loses NV, GA, AZ, and NC. And she currently leads in polling averages of MI, PA, and WI. In MI her lead appears to be growing. I think PA remains the tightest of those 3.

I don't feel confident Harris is going to win but I also don't feel confident Trump will win. I think based on the polling we currently see AND the early vote numbers AND the context that it's going to be a handful of tight states that decide it, it's a toss up.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Are you posting from some methy village where Online Gambler is on most of your neighbor’s LinkedIn profiles?

Look. Most of us don’t bet on anything. Do you understand what dispositive means? Do you think things through? You’re making irrational connections, sir. Should you reconsider your retirement and your posting habits here?

I am sure that is true of DCUM. According to a recent survey, 40% of Americans bet on sports--probably none of them on DCUM.

Betting on election outcomes is no different, and the election betting sites attract the type of people who bet on sports. If you are a more than casual participant, you bet on who you think will win, not who you wish would win. Bettors are in it for the monetary payoff.

Betting on election outcomes is very different than betting on sports. It was only legalized this month, for example.

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Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

How much have you bet?

I already said -- zero. Because the odds are so high on Trump right now that the bet won't pay off enough to justify the risk. But if he was down in the odds as much as Harris was, and I felt good about Trump winning, I would definitely be betting. Not sure why liberals aren't, but I could venture a pretty good guess.

Do you how betting odds work when it comes to payoffs? How much do you think the difference is between the two right now?

It is actually a pretty big difference right now. I have to bet upwards of $185 on Trump just to win $100. But I can bet $100 on Harris and win $160 or more. That is a HUGE difference in betting circles. Essentially, I can win double or triple the money on Harris if I bet for Harris over Trump.

Someone's going to make some money and someone's going to lose some money. Most of that either way is not going to involve Harris voters. the demographic online betting is men. Yes, millions of them will vote for Harris but that's also a stronger demographic for Trump supporters.

Into what demographic do you belong? How old are you? Are you male?

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Anonymous wrote:If you get out of the DC bubble, you’ll quickly see that Trump is gonna wipe the floor with Harris.

Yep, Harris is toast. But no one here seems to think so.

Because you are making an assertion without even an attempt at backup. No cites. No up to the minute polling. No article regarding early voting. No article regarding changes in voter registration, fundraising, or endorsements. Nothing.

You guys are all behaving like the criminals who shat in the Capitol and asking people to respect their sincerely held “political beliefs.’ Yet you do not substantiate why you think something. It’s just repugnant but so are all of you. Trump is weak and old, and when he passes, your sick cult ends.

I am a different poster, but this post and others in this thread are interesting because you seem to not be following the election at all (in addition to being unhinged, as evidenced by your rhetoric). First, all the betting markets, not just the ones the liberals believe are being manipulated, have Trump as a pretty heavy favorite right now. If you and others believe otherwise, there is a lot of money to be made. Second, places like 538 and RCP (and others) have Trump as the favorite based on polling and analysis. In fact, I am not sure of any outlet right now that has Harris as the favorite. Third, early results have been very strong for Republicans. Look what is happening in Arizona, Nevada, Florida, etc. Hard to read tea leaves in the blue wall states because of how early voting is different, but in terms of nationwide tea leaves, pretty much everything is good for Trump right now, and I follow all of this closely. Heck, even states like New Hampshire are shockingly close. And the Senate races are looking way better for Republicans right now -- could even get 52 or more. So in total, the landscape appears to favor Republicans quite a bit. Should be interesting next week.

There are several whales dumping cash into the betting markets in an attempt to influence the election. It will be fun to eventually find out where that cash is coming from. They do know that a French National is one that has sunk some millions on a Trump win.

How does that loser infect so many otherwise successful people?

Regardless, the point remains that ALL betting markets have Trump as the heavy favorite. And the point also remains that, if you believe the markets are being manipulated and that Harris will win, then you can make a tonn of money right now. The fact that you and others are not doing that, as evidenced by the betting lines not moving toward Harris at all, shows you what is really going on. But seriously, if you think she will win, go bet -- you will make really good money.

Please. look into the demographics of who gets involved in online betting. The voters that are going to put Harris in office are not placing online bets.

These are all irrelevant points, especially given that it is ALL betting markets. If you are saying they are Trump voters in all markets, then are you also saying they like to lose money? I mean, they are betting to win, so if they don't think Trump is going to win, then why bet. And the opposite is true -- if Harris voters are confident, they can make a lot of money betting on her right now because Trump is the favorite.

Listen genius, millions of Harris voters are not placing on line bets. They never have and they likely never will. But their votes count just like the bros betting on Trump.

Such a genius like yourself would know that no registered voter is placing these bets in these markets because it’s not legal in the us

So your hot take is that a bunch of mangy gamblers elsewhere in the world are right about the outcome, no shorting, no betting strategies, just they’re all right? Lol