Anonymous
07/04/2020 13:13
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Analysis: Republican internal polling signals a Democratic rout CNN
Democratic and liberal aligned groups have put out 17 House polls taken in April or later. Republican aligned groups have put out 0. That's a very bad ratio for Republicans.
Democratic and liberal aligned groups have put out 17 House polls taken in April or later. Republican aligned groups have put out 0. That's a very bad ratio for Republicans.
Anonymous
07/02/2020 22:10
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
It’s a long way to November. Don’t get complacent!
Anonymous
Anonymous
07/02/2020 10:01
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins.
Agree. And where is Ohio? Ohio has always picked the winner.
Biden doesn’t need Ohio.
An electoral college win is not enough, this need to be a complete rebuke and referendum.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 18:54
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins.
Agree. And where is Ohio? Ohio has always picked the winner.
Biden doesn’t need Ohio.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 17:46
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:NYT reports that in six swing states, 2016 Trump voters who won’t support him this year represent 2% of registered voters. Considering the tiny margins last time, the voters who have died, and the voters that have come of age, that would be more than enough.
They said 2% in one place, but 6% in a few others, including the infographic. 6% seems like more than enough given the margins last time.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/upshot/poll-trump-defectors-2020-election.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share
Anonymous
07/01/2020 17:34
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins.
Agree. And where is Ohio? Ohio has always picked the winner.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/ohio/
Biden by a hair
Anonymous
07/01/2020 17:33
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins.
Agree. And where is Ohio? Ohio has always picked the winner.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 17:21
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Monmouth poll:
MARCH 2020:
39% right direction
54% wrong track
JULY 2020:
18% right direction
74% wrong track
MARCH 2020:
39% right direction
54% wrong track
JULY 2020:
18% right direction
74% wrong track
Anonymous
07/01/2020 16:16
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
NYT reports that in six swing states, 2016 Trump voters who won’t support him this year represent 2% of registered voters. Considering the tiny margins last time, the voters who have died, and the voters that have come of age, that would be more than enough.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 09:01
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
None of those margins are big enough. I want bigger margins.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 08:57
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
It seems like Michigan and Arizona might already be close to done as well. And, Texas, Missouri and even Utah are in the margin of error.
It is possible Trump could win. It is also possible Trump could face the largest electoral defeat since Mondale.
It is possible Trump could win. It is also possible Trump could face the largest electoral defeat since Mondale.
Anonymous
07/01/2020 07:52
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:#Arizona:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
.
#Florida:
Biden 50% (+5)
Trump 45%
.
#Wisconsin:
Biden 51% (+8)
Trump 43%
.
#Pennsylvania:
Biden 50% (+6)
Trump 44%
.
#Michigan:
Biden 48% (+5)
Trump 43%
.
North Carolina:
Biden 51% (+7)
Trump 44%
Change Polls from the past few days.
It Biden gets FL he probably only needs one more of these.