Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

I also don’t trust that Ohio polling based similar polling swinging 5-7% more republican in past elections. Also this chart is worrying. Ryan went from 72% in 2012 to 69, 68, 61, 53 in 2020! That is some drop in the last decade, and show I believe how much redder Ohio has gotten.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.[/quote


What about the Georgia numbers??