Anonymous
Post 08/11/2022 20:21     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:

Whoa! That’s good news. Fetterman definitely has that regular guy, honest, I’d like to have a beer with him quality. I hope he stays healthy and I think he could go far….
Anonymous
Post 08/11/2022 19:05     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 08/11/2022 15:01     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 08/11/2022 00:30     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
The "strangest" senate race in America.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/08/utah-strangest-senate-race-in-america-00050090

Utah is home to the Great Salt Lake, the NBA’s Jazz and the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Oh, and the strangest Senate race in America.

There’s Evan McMullin, a former presidential candidate who’s convinced Utah Democrats to not run a candidate while saying he’d buck both Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell to become a one-man caucus if he’s elected. Then there’s incumbent Sen. Mike Lee, a pugnacious two-term conservative who once detested Donald Trump so much that his 2016 presidential pick was ... McMullin.

Awkwardly stuck in the middle: Sen. Mitt Romney, whose neutrality in the race McMullin “greatly appreciates.”


McMullin is running as an independent in the mold of Romney or Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), a novel strategy that requires support from Democrats, independents and anti-Trump Republicans in a deep-red state. He says the race is “close,” citing public polls showing him within 5 points; during an interview, Lee handed over an internal poll showing him up by 14.

Even as a clear underdog, McMullin is making it the most competitive Utah Senate race in perhaps 30 years. It’s a remarkable test of McMullin’s unproven theory that he can topple a conservative by running a one-on-one race with no Democratic spoiler. The matchup is as much about the last six years of the Republican Party — and Lee’s place in it — as it is about McMullin’s half-court heave of a political strategy.
Anonymous
Post 08/10/2022 13:37     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 08/10/2022 02:37     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:538 now calling the Senate for the Dems.

Snort.


538 can’t call an election-they’re a prediction and analytics site. They’re just predicting a greater chance for Dems to keep the Senate majority at this point in time given the polling data they have at this moment. That’s not “calling it.”
Anonymous
Post 08/10/2022 02:34     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:


We hope. Vance is a fake hedge fund guy masquerading as a Trump conservative populist. Ryan is much more authentic populist. But Ohio has been trending redder each year.
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 22:22     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:538 now calling the Senate for the Dems.

Snort.
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 16:06     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:


Twitter: Here's why this poll is bad news for Democrats

Twitter nothing. Most “mainstream” political reporters will still be whining about how nobody likes the guy they’ve been beating up on since Afghanistan and here’s why Republicans will win everything no matter what.
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 15:31     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:


Twitter: Here's why this poll is bad news for Democrats
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 15:10     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 00:10     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:


Ohio, I don’t know, it’s gone very conservative the last few years. Haven’t the republicans outperformed the polls there the last few elections? Wasn’t 2020 supposed to be close there?


In the 2020 Presidential Ohio was polling about +1 on the final average of 5 polls, trump won it by +8. I’m not very hopeful here.


Great news, thanks!
Anonymous
Post 08/09/2022 00:05     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:


Ohio, I don’t know, it’s gone very conservative the last few years. Haven’t the republicans outperformed the polls there the last few elections? Wasn’t 2020 supposed to be close there?


In the 2020 Presidential Ohio was polling about +1 on the final average of 5 polls, trump won it by +8. I’m not very hopeful here.
Anonymous
Post 08/08/2022 23:31     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 08/08/2022 21:34     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:


Ohio, I don’t know, it’s gone very conservative the last few years. Haven’t the republicans outperformed the polls there the last few elections? Wasn’t 2020 supposed to be close there?