Anonymous wrote:Horror show of a CNN poll for Biden. Trump ahead outside the margin of error, up even bigger w/ expanded field. Majorities see Biden's presidency as a failure & Trump's as a success. 60% disapproval for the incumbent. I want to focus on the Israel/war 🇮🇱 data point for a moment.
Biden is at a dreadful (28/71) on his handling of the Israel/Hamas war. Media will focus on him being deep underwater (19/81) on the issue among young voters, pushing the narrative that he's still seen as too pro-Israel. But he's relatively strong on the issue among partisan Democrats (46/53). Among Republicans and independents, who are much more pro-Israel than the Democratic base at this point, he's at (13/87) and (27/73) respectively.
Biden has pandered hard to the Hamas sympathizers for weeks. This has earned him approximately zero credit within that crowd. Meanwhile, normies and Israel supporters are *disgusted* with his handling of the issue. He's impressing no one. And Israel's supporters heavily outnumber Israel's haters in America -- despite what he might be seeing and hearing on his favored cable news channels, on social media, and among his hyper-online staff.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Biden’s only hope is to get enough pro-choice voters to the polls in battleground states. Otherwise, he loses.
I'll take that bet.
We are far, far beyond the anti-choice talking point that only sluts that are too dumb to use birth control are getting abortions, even up to the 9th month of pregnancy! and this is what the Democrats want. And that's been very evident at the polls.
Anonymous wrote:Biden’s only hope is to get enough pro-choice voters to the polls in battleground states. Otherwise, he loses.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Pennsylvania primary votes look terrible for Trump.
What do you mean? Because some are voting for Haley who has dropped out?
Pennsylvania leans slightly left. Roughly 46% of registered voters are Democratic and Biden is getting nearly 100% of the Democratic vote.
Roughly 39% of registered voters are Republican and Trump is only getting about 80% of the Republican vote. (about 31% of registered voters). Those voting for Haley now are likely to sit out the election in November.
Registered Independents are about 15% of the total registered voters. Trump would need to essentially get all of the moderate and independent voters to win Pennsylvania.
His chances of winning Pennsylvania look bleak.
Do you really think Haley voters are going to sit it out? I’ll bet most of them come home in November.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Pennsylvania primary votes look terrible for Trump.
What do you mean? Because some are voting for Haley who has dropped out?
Pennsylvania leans slightly left. Roughly 46% of registered voters are Democratic and Biden is getting nearly 100% of the Democratic vote.
Roughly 39% of registered voters are Republican and Trump is only getting about 80% of the Republican vote. (about 31% of registered voters). Those voting for Haley now are likely to sit out the election in November.
Registered Independents are about 15% of the total registered voters. Trump would need to essentially get all of the moderate and independent voters to win Pennsylvania.
His chances of winning Pennsylvania look bleak.
Do you really think Haley voters are going to sit it out? I’ll bet most of them come home in November.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Pennsylvania primary votes look terrible for Trump.
What do you mean? Because some are voting for Haley who has dropped out?
Pennsylvania leans slightly left. Roughly 46% of registered voters are Democratic and Biden is getting nearly 100% of the Democratic vote.
Roughly 39% of registered voters are Republican and Trump is only getting about 80% of the Republican vote. (about 31% of registered voters). Those voting for Haley now are likely to sit out the election in November.
Registered Independents are about 15% of the total registered voters. Trump would need to essentially get all of the moderate and independent voters to win Pennsylvania.
His chances of winning Pennsylvania look bleak.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Pennsylvania primary votes look terrible for Trump.
What do you mean? Because some are voting for Haley who has dropped out?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Pennsylvania primary votes look terrible for Trump.
What do you mean? Because some are voting for Haley who has dropped out?
Yes, 1 in 5 Republicans in a must win state are voting for someone who dropped out months ago instead of Trump. This is a closed primary with lots of contested Democratic races, so no party switching here.
They might be protest votes. When push comes to shove, they'll fall in line and vote along party lines.