Anonymous
11/30/2022 11:50
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:You can go back about 30 pages where I posted that the aggregate polling data was polluted with crappy GOP polling. The likes of CNN bought it and tried to sell it, but all it did was further energize the left, except in places where voter suppression and gerrymandering were successful (ie FL and WI)
+1 “In reality, an aggregation of nonpartisan polls predicted the correct winner in every Senate battleground and would have predicted the margin substantially more accurately than the partisan GOP pollsters which flooded the averages in almost every major race.
These Republican firms, such as the Trafalgar Group, overstated Republican strength by roughly 3 points more than the non-partisan polls. Trafalgar, for instance, showed the GOP with a closing advantage in New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. In states that saw Democratic blowouts, such as Washington and Colorado, they (incorrectly) showed tight races within the margin of error. In nearly every case, they look to have missed the mark substantially.”
https://www.thebulwark.com/the-nonpartisan-polls-were-fine-actually/
What is a partisan poll? Wouldn't that have a biased result be definitions? Why would those have any value to anyone? Who pays for that?
Political campaigns and dark money PACs pay for the partisan polls. There’s been a massive proliferation of GOP aligned polling outlets in the last 3 years.
The poll aggregators shouldn’t even bother including partisan pollsters in the future.
Anonymous
11/30/2022 11:31
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:You can go back about 30 pages where I posted that the aggregate polling data was polluted with crappy GOP polling. The likes of CNN bought it and tried to sell it, but all it did was further energize the left, except in places where voter suppression and gerrymandering were successful (ie FL and WI)
+1 “In reality, an aggregation of nonpartisan polls predicted the correct winner in every Senate battleground and would have predicted the margin substantially more accurately than the partisan GOP pollsters which flooded the averages in almost every major race.
These Republican firms, such as the Trafalgar Group, overstated Republican strength by roughly 3 points more than the non-partisan polls. Trafalgar, for instance, showed the GOP with a closing advantage in New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. In states that saw Democratic blowouts, such as Washington and Colorado, they (incorrectly) showed tight races within the margin of error. In nearly every case, they look to have missed the mark substantially.”
https://www.thebulwark.com/the-nonpartisan-polls-were-fine-actually/
What is a partisan poll? Wouldn't that have a biased result be definitions? Why would those have any value to anyone? Who pays for that?
Anonymous
11/30/2022 09:51
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:You can go back about 30 pages where I posted that the aggregate polling data was polluted with crappy GOP polling. The likes of CNN bought it and tried to sell it, but all it did was further energize the left, except in places where voter suppression and gerrymandering were successful (ie FL and WI)
+1 “In reality, an aggregation of nonpartisan polls predicted the correct winner in every Senate battleground and would have predicted the margin substantially more accurately than the partisan GOP pollsters which flooded the averages in almost every major race.
These Republican firms, such as the Trafalgar Group, overstated Republican strength by roughly 3 points more than the non-partisan polls. Trafalgar, for instance, showed the GOP with a closing advantage in New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona. In states that saw Democratic blowouts, such as Washington and Colorado, they (incorrectly) showed tight races within the margin of error. In nearly every case, they look to have missed the mark substantially.”
https://www.thebulwark.com/the-nonpartisan-polls-were-fine-actually/
Anonymous
11/28/2022 23:49
Subject: 2022 election results thread
If Cochise County in AZ doesn't certify, then the GOP votes there won't be counted in the election, which would flip a House seat from the GOP to the Dems.
Anonymous
Anonymous
11/27/2022 09:17
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New York Democratic candidates for Congress on Long Island and in Hudson Valley were dumbasses who ran stupid campaigns. They expected the Democratic Party and the Governor’s race to drag them to victory as usual, but this was never a coattails election in NY after the Cuomo machine went down. The candidates needed to get off their asses and work their districts for votes.
NO
Catholic MAGA voted Republican when their parents had. voted for dem for years.
This is a demographic DNC has failed to notice and it is growing at an exponential rate in NY> The stupidity of Statan Island and Long Island North shore is stunning. I am from there Northport NY St Anthony told people how to vote. Morons can not think for themselves and the church should be taxed.
Youngkin won on this demographic while highly educated Catholic women who are afraid for their darling white sons.
Next Orthodox Jews also growing also Maga idiots. Like the Nazi Republicans won't come for them too.
the catholic church has been telling people to vote on one single issue for decades. Many ignore that but not enough. IME...the younger generation does ignore that nonsense and votes. dem..even the catholic ones. Eventually...the old maga dinosaurs will go extinct.
Anonymous
11/27/2022 08:43
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:New York Democratic candidates for Congress on Long Island and in Hudson Valley were dumbasses who ran stupid campaigns. They expected the Democratic Party and the Governor’s race to drag them to victory as usual, but this was never a coattails election in NY after the Cuomo machine went down. The candidates needed to get off their asses and work their districts for votes.
NO
Catholic MAGA voted Republican when their parents had. voted for dem for years.
This is a demographic DNC has failed to notice and it is growing at an exponential rate in NY> The stupidity of Statan Island and Long Island North shore is stunning. I am from there Northport NY St Anthony told people how to vote. Morons can not think for themselves and the church should be taxed.
Youngkin won on this demographic while highly educated Catholic women who are afraid for their darling white sons.
Next Orthodox Jews also growing also Maga idiots. Like the Nazi Republicans won't come for them too.
Anonymous
11/26/2022 15:14
Subject: 2022 election results thread
New York Democratic candidates for Congress on Long Island and in Hudson Valley were dumbasses who ran stupid campaigns. They expected the Democratic Party and the Governor’s race to drag them to victory as usual, but this was never a coattails election in NY after the Cuomo machine went down. The candidates needed to get off their asses and work their districts for votes.
Anonymous
11/26/2022 15:06
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Dems let themselves believe in the midterm curse. They didn’t think it would be this close and all the junk GOP polls towards the end threw people off.
Anonymous
11/26/2022 14:55
Subject: 2022 election results thread
NY also got screwed in the census
Anonymous
Anonymous