Anonymous
04/19/2021 16:36
Subject: Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling
Anonymous wrote:The problem was not the polling as much as it was the assumptions in their turnout models. They adjust the raw polling data to the demographics and geography of their projections of turnout. They assumed that 2016 maxed out the rural white vote for Trump but millions more turned out in 2020. Democrats also had much higher turnout and flipped a lot of suburbs and that helped Biden win states but did not help Democratic House candidates in non-urban districts. Generally, every county in America voted pretty much as expected but some areas had more total votes than expected. The only real misses in the polling were the Florida Cuban-Americans and the SW Texas Hispanics who liked Trump better in 2020 than in 2016.
In sipte of all the handwringing and mudslinging in this thread, this is how it boils down . This is the correct reasoning.
Anonymous
04/18/2021 22:54
Subject: Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It boggles my mind that anyone would waste their time participating in a poll. Why?
It’s also that they ask personal questions don’t they? They already have your gender and usually your address and then don’t you need to tell them all the things that are important to you and your income range and education and things like that? Who would give all that information to strangers who just claim to be doing a poll that doesn’t benefit us anyway? Sounds crazy to me.
+1
Exactly. I think there must be a lot of very naive and/or lonely people out there.
Anonymous
04/18/2021 22:53
Subject: Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It boggles my mind that anyone would waste their time participating in a poll. Why?
I remember getting on poll call at 5:45pm. I told them my daughters daycare closed at 6:30pm.
They were still asking questions at 6:20 and I just hung up at that point. Some polls are looooooong.
I’m curious - why even bother? I either don’t answer or say “not interested, please take me off your list.”
Anonymous
04/18/2021 14:45
Subject: Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling
Anonymous wrote:It boggles my mind that anyone would waste their time participating in a poll. Why?
It’s also that they ask personal questions don’t they? They already have your gender and usually your address and then don’t you need to tell them all the things that are important to you and your income range and education and things like that? Who would give all that information to strangers who just claim to be doing a poll that doesn’t benefit us anyway? Sounds crazy to me.
Anonymous
04/18/2021 06:43
Subject: Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling
Anonymous wrote:It boggles my mind that anyone would waste their time participating in a poll. Why?
I remember getting on poll call at 5:45pm. I told them my daughters daycare closed at 6:30pm.
They were still asking questions at 6:20 and I just hung up at that point. Some polls are looooooong.