Anonymous
Post 05/10/2020 21:07     Subject: There is so much we don't know about the virus - and here's another reason to be cautious
Anonymous wrote:You have about 1.5x the weekly expected number of cases in one city as you would expect to see in the entire country.

And it's on a steep upward diagnostic slope, and it's the kind of illness that is both very hard to diagnose and has a long latency period for negative sequelae, and we are in the midst of a global pandemic that causes other inflammatory problems in adults.

You really want to keep minimizing this? You are definitely not a pediatrician.

It's not cause for panic. It is *very* concerning and that concern should be factored into any phased reopenings, especially with children grouped together indoors.


No more concerning than any other viral season. And you don't know what I do for a living. I do know what I'm talking about.
Anonymous
Post 05/10/2020 19:44     Subject: There is so much we don't know about the virus - and here's another reason to be cautious
You have about 1.5x the weekly expected number of cases in one city as you would expect to see in the entire country.

And it's on a steep upward diagnostic slope, and it's the kind of illness that is both very hard to diagnose and has a long latency period for negative sequelae, and we are in the midst of a global pandemic that causes other inflammatory problems in adults.

You really want to keep minimizing this? You are definitely not a pediatrician.

It's not cause for panic. It is *very* concerning and that concern should be factored into any phased reopenings, especially with children grouped together indoors.
Anonymous
Post 05/10/2020 19:40     Subject: Re:There is so much we don't know about the virus - and here's another reason to be cautious
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:From the National Organization of Rare Disorders:
"Recent evidence by Yale University investigators (2005) suggests that a newly discovered coronavirus may have a role in Kawasaki disease. Additional research is needed." From 2005! This is not new. Nor are the numbers alarming.


This is outdated. The Yale article had results that were not replicated elsewhere. This is being replicated around the world. Very different.


It wasn't replicated, but it wasn't ruled out. The point is, this is not new and is being overblown as a new desperate attempt by the media to keep this country in lockdown and fear until November.


I'm sorry --- what does that mean? Are you in the habit of accepting studies with results that are unable to be replicated, despite multiple trials?
Anonymous
Post 05/10/2020 19:38     Subject: There is so much we don't know about the virus - and here's another reason to be cautious
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Now it’s 85 cases...


So there are over 3,000 cases of Kawasaki syndrome diagnosed in the US every year. Did you know that? Though the exact cause is not known, the prevalent theory is that it is related to respiratory viral infection. Why are none of these news reports mentioning that? This isn't a giant mystery.


Yes, but you usually don't see 85 cases coming in over the span of a week, even if you were to look at all of New York.

3000 cases / 52 weeks means an average-ish (there are seasonal clusters) means an average of about 58 cases per week for the entire country. NY state has 6% of the US population. NYC has just 2.5%. I hope you can see why this is causing grave concerns amongst the pediatric professional groups.

I mean, you can minimize it all you want or need to, but that doesn't make this any less troubling, if you understand how this type of disease works.