Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

Yes, exactly.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm a private investigator whose primary clients are hedge funds. Business is very good for now. My wife works in PR; her clients are primarily corporations.

+1. My DH is a law firm partner whose clients are the above. Even if some clients leave/shrink/disappear, that's highly unlikely to happen to all of them.

If courts are successfully destroyed as per step 3 of Curtis Yarvin's plan, lawyers become unnecessary.

You do know that 99% of lawyers have nothing to do with courts right? They work with private clients.

I wouldn't count on it. If you cut the regulators, then presumably you don't need the consultants and law firms defending private companies on the other side. There's no IRS or EPA or SEC or DOJ to pursue enforcement actions and no need for law firms and consultants to represent companies doing that work. I actually think it could be terrible for law firms.

This is what people don’t seem to understand. There are whole practice groups built around regulations that have been frozen.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

Anonymous wrote:I'm outside DC area. Absolutely no impact on economy here yet. No one even is registering what is happening in DC with the feds, because 99% of americans just have regular jobs - like teacher, doctor, plumber, sales, whatever.

I think we will see economic slowdown in the US (real estate was already slowing down where i am, from its pandemic highs), but doubtful it is the mass pandemonium anticipated by the dcum jobs forum.

Also, my sector (energy) is bonkers busy, and anticipating robust growth for years. We still cannot find people to hire.

Anonymous wrote:Education. There is already a shortage of teachers. Those out of a job will flock to teaching for stability, steady income (of course it will be a huge cut for most) and benefits.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:oil and gas, nuclear

Nope. Do you even read the news? All O&G majors have had massive layoffs in the past year or two. Chevron just announced 25% cut last week. All the jobs are moving to India. But don't worry, our government will continue to give them tax breaks. Most companies pay $0 in cooperate tax due to write offs and loop holes.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Local law enforcement. As society slowly unravels more will be needed.

Lots of federal grants for that. And even if those specific grants aren’t affected, state and local governments may need to reallocate funds to make up for lost federal funds elsewhere. They’ll be affected.

Not really. Most depts are understaffed as it is and demand for public safety is strong. Will be among the last sectors to be hit.

Anonymous wrote:I don't mean this to be flip. I'm aiming this at young people in their first few years in the workforce.

Most cities/states outside of the DC area will be fine. They are losing some federal jobs, but those jobs are a much, much smaller proportion of their workforce so the employees will experience disruption but be absorbed into the local workforce relatively quickly.

In contrast, the DC area will likely be in a local recession--there will be a spike in unemployment directly related to the federal jobs, and there will be spillover effects to entertainment, restaurants, etc. And that will lower local tax revenue putting a strain on local governments and related services.

If you're young and don't have strong ties to the area, looking anyplace outside of the DMV will provide more opportunity and less competition for jobs and wages than the DMV will for the next four years.

And there's a very good chance that the federal govt will be hiring in earnest four years from now if you're really keen to return.

Anonymous wrote:oil and gas, nuclear

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Local law enforcement. As society slowly unravels more will be needed.

Lots of federal grants for that. And even if those specific grants aren’t affected, state and local governments may need to reallocate funds to make up for lost federal funds elsewhere. They’ll be affected.

Anonymous wrote:This industry will be impacted but positively: ICE officer.

Pretty much end of list.

Anonymous wrote:I don't mean this to be flip. I'm aiming this at young people in their first few years in the workforce.

Most cities/states outside of the DC area will be fine. They are losing some federal jobs, but those jobs are a much, much smaller proportion of their workforce so the employees will experience disruption but be absorbed into the local workforce relatively quickly.

In contrast, the DC area will likely be in a local recession--there will be a spike in unemployment directly related to the federal jobs, and there will be spillover effects to entertainment, restaurants, etc. And that will lower local tax revenue putting a strain on local governments and related services.

If you're young and don't have strong ties to the area, looking anyplace outside of the DMV will provide more opportunity and less competition for jobs and wages than the DMV will for the next four years.

And there's a very good chance that the federal govt will be hiring in earnest four years from now if you're really keen to return.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm a private investigator whose primary clients are hedge funds. Business is very good for now. My wife works in PR; her clients are primarily corporations.

+1. My DH is a law firm partner whose clients are the above. Even if some clients leave/shrink/disappear, that's highly unlikely to happen to all of them.

If courts are successfully destroyed as per step 3 of Curtis Yarvin's plan, lawyers become unnecessary.

You do know that 99% of lawyers have nothing to do with courts right? They work with private clients.

I wouldn't count on it. If you cut the regulators, then presumably you don't need the consultants and law firms defending private companies on the other side. There's no IRS or EPA or SEC or DOJ to pursue enforcement actions and no need for law firms and consultants to represent companies doing that work. I actually think it could be terrible for law firms.

This is what people don’t seem to understand. There are whole practice groups built around regulations that have been frozen.