Anonymous
11/14/2024 21:40
Subject: Betting Markets
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/
Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.
Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.
But they are all up,
Not just poly market
None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.
I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.
This didn’t age well!
Anonymous
11/14/2024 11:36
Subject: Betting Markets
And money laundering. This guy is only in his mid 20s and has paid substantial penalties in the past for running an illegal swaps markets.
Anonymous
11/14/2024 11:07
Subject: Re:Betting Markets
Anonymous wrote:The FBI today raided the apartment of the CEO of Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, and seized his electronics. I'm sure it's nothing.
https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
It's for running an illegal gambling operation for US residents. It's not for Thiel and Elon fixing the vote.
Anonymous
11/13/2024 16:59
Subject: Betting Markets
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/
Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.
Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.
But they are all up,
Not just poly market
None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.
I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.
I guess the FBI won't be raiding your home.
Anonymous
11/13/2024 16:55
Subject: Betting Markets
I love how the headline was sculpted to generate maximum outrage and conspiracies on social media.
"FBI seizes Polymarket CEO’s phone, electronics after betting platform predicts Trump win: source"
The NY Post is such a trash paper.
"FBI seizes Polymarket CEO’s phone, electronics after betting platform predicts Trump win: source"
The NY Post is such a trash paper.
Anonymous
11/13/2024 16:38
Subject: Re:Betting Markets
The FBI today raided the apartment of the CEO of Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, and seized his electronics. I'm sure it's nothing.
https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social
Anonymous
11/05/2024 20:02
Subject: Betting Markets
Trump is surging on both PredictIt (62-43) and Polymarket (70-30). About an hour ago, Harris had the momentum.
Anonymous
11/05/2024 18:26
Subject: Betting Markets
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/
Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.
Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.
But they are all up,
Not just poly market
None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.
I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.
Anonymous
11/05/2024 17:46
Subject: Betting Markets
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/
Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.
Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.
But they are all up,
Not just poly market