Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Franchot has no backbone and was Hogan's lackey. I would vote for Shultz over him. I just pray anyone is the nominee except him. - signed a lifelong Dem
...so you'd vote for someone who was also a Hogan lackey and had no backbone. You realize she was his Secy. of Commerce, right?
You sound like an idiot.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The vast majority of the general electorate would rather stomach a Progressive over a Trump Republican, this has been captured in polling.
Maryland is NOT Virginia
Maryland is not Virginia, but Montgomery County is not Maryland. Voters across the state prefer candidates they know and politicians with Maryland roots. You might be able to move to Montgomery County to be in a DC suburb and run and win to get on the council due to affiliation with a DC job and national politics, however this doesn’t work in the rest of the state. As a result, even Dan Cox would almost certainly win over King.
Maryland voters for Governor also have traditionally rejected the political hack, party machine candidates, which is Perez. He is similar in the same mound as a Kennedy Townsend or Brown. Dud politicians with strong party support. Maryland general election voters have proven that they just don’t like these candidates that seem like they are being thrust on them.
People forget Ehrlich, but he was a Dan Cox style Trump Republican before Trump and Maryland voters had no problem electing him over Kennedy Townsend.
So both King and Perez would almost certainly result in a D loss regardless of who is running on the R side. I think Moore is a bit tricky, because he has all these negatives but he’s viewed as being strongly pro-business. So I think he will prevail over Cox because he will get enough of the Frederick, Howard and Baltimore County votes. However, he will have a tough time with Schulz.
The reality is that this is going to be a low turnout election. Contrary to the narrative, Democratic voters will not be energized by abortion but demoralized. Republican voters will be energized by the court and the “Biden economy”, which is going to be a serious drag.
This is how I know you have no idea what you're talking about -- all the polling data shows that dems are energized and enraged, not demoralized.
My election judge friends tell me it’s republicans showing up at the early voting sites, so far. But that maybe Dems are voting by mail.
It is much more likely that Democratic voters will vote my mail. But also, the PP is confusing national with local. National events are certainly not energizing local races in the middle of the summer and by November and in a mid-term election year with an unpopular President and a lagging economy, oof.
Anyone Democrat in Maryland “energized” by the Supreme Court to vote in local elections was always a likely voter. However, it is the occasional voter who is more likely to lose faith in voting in the face of the Supreme Court decision and the Democrats meek response. “What’s the point of voting?” they ask. To which the Democrats have no response except to ask for more donations.
Anonymous wrote:Franchot has no backbone and was Hogan's lackey. I would vote for Shultz over him. I just pray anyone is the nominee except him. - signed a lifelong Dem
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Polls have shown Abortion has actually energized Dems. There's a good chance we end up with a Dem controlled Senate and Republican controlled House as opposed to a Wave election.
Which polls? The same ones that say Democrats want Joe Biden to run again?
Anonymous wrote:Polls have shown Abortion has actually energized Dems. There's a good chance we end up with a Dem controlled Senate and Republican controlled House as opposed to a Wave election.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The vast majority of the general electorate would rather stomach a Progressive over a Trump Republican, this has been captured in polling.
Maryland is NOT Virginia
Maryland is not Virginia, but Montgomery County is not Maryland. Voters across the state prefer candidates they know and politicians with Maryland roots. You might be able to move to Montgomery County to be in a DC suburb and run and win to get on the council due to affiliation with a DC job and national politics, however this doesn’t work in the rest of the state. As a result, even Dan Cox would almost certainly win over King.
Maryland voters for Governor also have traditionally rejected the political hack, party machine candidates, which is Perez. He is similar in the same mound as a Kennedy Townsend or Brown. Dud politicians with strong party support. Maryland general election voters have proven that they just don’t like these candidates that seem like they are being thrust on them.
People forget Ehrlich, but he was a Dan Cox style Trump Republican before Trump and Maryland voters had no problem electing him over Kennedy Townsend.
So both King and Perez would almost certainly result in a D loss regardless of who is running on the R side. I think Moore is a bit tricky, because he has all these negatives but he’s viewed as being strongly pro-business. So I think he will prevail over Cox because he will get enough of the Frederick, Howard and Baltimore County votes. However, he will have a tough time with Schulz.
The reality is that this is going to be a low turnout election. Contrary to the narrative, Democratic voters will not be energized by abortion but demoralized. Republican voters will be energized by the court and the “Biden economy”, which is going to be a serious drag.
This is how I know you have no idea what you're talking about -- all the polling data shows that dems are energized and enraged, not demoralized.
My election judge friends tell me it’s republicans showing up at the early voting sites, so far. But that maybe Dems are voting by mail.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The vast majority of the general electorate would rather stomach a Progressive over a Trump Republican, this has been captured in polling.
Maryland is NOT Virginia
Maryland is not Virginia, but Montgomery County is not Maryland. Voters across the state prefer candidates they know and politicians with Maryland roots. You might be able to move to Montgomery County to be in a DC suburb and run and win to get on the council due to affiliation with a DC job and national politics, however this doesn’t work in the rest of the state. As a result, even Dan Cox would almost certainly win over King.
Maryland voters for Governor also have traditionally rejected the political hack, party machine candidates, which is Perez. He is similar in the same mound as a Kennedy Townsend or Brown. Dud politicians with strong party support. Maryland general election voters have proven that they just don’t like these candidates that seem like they are being thrust on them.
People forget Ehrlich, but he was a Dan Cox style Trump Republican before Trump and Maryland voters had no problem electing him over Kennedy Townsend.
So both King and Perez would almost certainly result in a D loss regardless of who is running on the R side. I think Moore is a bit tricky, because he has all these negatives but he’s viewed as being strongly pro-business. So I think he will prevail over Cox because he will get enough of the Frederick, Howard and Baltimore County votes. However, he will have a tough time with Schulz.
The reality is that this is going to be a low turnout election. Contrary to the narrative, Democratic voters will not be energized by abortion but demoralized. Republican voters will be energized by the court and the “Biden economy”, which is going to be a serious drag.
This is how I know you have no idea what you're talking about -- all the polling data shows that dems are energized and enraged, not demoralized.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:No one even knows who Ed Markey is in MD except for the hyper political beltway people that live in Montgomery County. It might help him over Perez in the few places that people are voting for Perez. And it might be an endorsement to spite Perez for his time as head of DNC due to fending off a party supported primary challenge from a Kennedy.
Who do you think is voting in a low turnout primary in July during summer vacation?
Markey is basically saying that Franchot has progressive bona fides so you can feel comfortable voting for the old white guy who lives in Takoma Park and has won statewide elections. Hell, people split their ticket for Hogan and Franchot in past years.
This primary really is style over substance. I see little daylight between the candidates when it comes to policies they would enact.
It’s a statewide election.
No sh#t, Sherlock. But it's also in the middle of summer, so those voting are most likely going to be the hyperpartisan Democrats. MoCo will provide a disproportionate share of votes, so really Franchot has to play well in MoCo. A Markey endorsement helps with that.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:No one even knows who Ed Markey is in MD except for the hyper political beltway people that live in Montgomery County. It might help him over Perez in the few places that people are voting for Perez. And it might be an endorsement to spite Perez for his time as head of DNC due to fending off a party supported primary challenge from a Kennedy.
Who do you think is voting in a low turnout primary in July during summer vacation?
Markey is basically saying that Franchot has progressive bona fides so you can feel comfortable voting for the old white guy who lives in Takoma Park and has won statewide elections. Hell, people split their ticket for Hogan and Franchot in past years.
This primary really is style over substance. I see little daylight between the candidates when it comes to policies they would enact.
It’s a statewide election.