Anonymous
05/16/2022 16:02
Subject: Re:What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Fetterman is struggling in the western part of the state because that is Colin Lamb's territory. Being from Mt Lebanon means he has a lot of Pittsburgh support, even though Fetterman was mayor of Braddock. But once Fetterman knocks Lamb out of the primary, then Pittsburgh will go all in on Fetterman. And Pittsburgh has a lot more votes than the rest of western PA. Fetterman is going to have the East and West and Oz will have the middle of the state. As long as Fetterman can lock up the suburban votes and pull out some of the middle state voters like around York, Lancaster, Harrisburg and State College, he'll win. The key is to get a significant portion of the middle state small city votes and he's been working on that. His support in the small cities is much like Biden's which is why I think he'll do as well as Biden did.
I spend a lot of time in PA including areas near York and Lancaster and have to disagree with this. There is a big difference between Biden and Fetterman. Assuming that Fetterman is the D candidate, I don't think that he will do any better than Biden and likely will do worse.
Why?
Because a very high percentage of the support for Fetterman is from young people (this is anecdotal. I might be wrong have no idea if polling supports this).
This demographic of voters has consistently underperformed at the polls, relative to forecasts.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 15:48
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:WTH with all of the strokes? Is someone triggering these?
Its COVID-related. Makes you a lot more susceptible.
For Fetterman, they explicitly said it was related to his a-fib.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 15:37
Subject: Re:What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Unconventional set of candidates assuming Oz wins.
I can tell some of you and your friends in PA are all gung ho for Fetterman. But to others he is abrasive, too unconventional and not appealing. The Philadelphia Inquirer didn't endorse Fetterman for a reason. Biden won PA because he was seen as a safe and moderate choice. I don't see how Fetterman will win the same voters as Biden. There's a reason why some Democratic pollers say Fetterman won't win all the votes Biden did.
The R slate has their own problems and enough of them to make this election a lesser evil choice / sit out year, so it really is unpredictable who will win. If my money is on anyone, it is Oz in a very narrow victory in a red wave year. Because Oz comes across as a bit more normal and approachable than Fetterman, even if he has his own issues.
I can tell some of you and your friends in PA are all gung ho for Fetterman. But to others he is abrasive, too unconventional and not appealing. The Philadelphia Inquirer didn't endorse Fetterman for a reason. Biden won PA because he was seen as a safe and moderate choice. I don't see how Fetterman will win the same voters as Biden. There's a reason why some Democratic pollers say Fetterman won't win all the votes Biden did.
The R slate has their own problems and enough of them to make this election a lesser evil choice / sit out year, so it really is unpredictable who will win. If my money is on anyone, it is Oz in a very narrow victory in a red wave year. Because Oz comes across as a bit more normal and approachable than Fetterman, even if he has his own issues.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 13:48
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:WTH with all of the strokes? Is someone triggering these?
Its COVID-related. Makes you a lot more susceptible.
Anonymous
Anonymous
05/16/2022 11:42
Subject: Re:What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Fetterman is struggling in the western part of the state because that is Colin Lamb's territory. Being from Mt Lebanon means he has a lot of Pittsburgh support, even though Fetterman was mayor of Braddock. But once Fetterman knocks Lamb out of the primary, then Pittsburgh will go all in on Fetterman. And Pittsburgh has a lot more votes than the rest of western PA. Fetterman is going to have the East and West and Oz will have the middle of the state. As long as Fetterman can lock up the suburban votes and pull out some of the middle state voters like around York, Lancaster, Harrisburg and State College, he'll win. The key is to get a significant portion of the middle state small city votes and he's been working on that. His support in the small cities is much like Biden's which is why I think he'll do as well as Biden did.
I spend a lot of time in PA including areas near York and Lancaster and have to disagree with this. There is a big difference between Biden and Fetterman. Assuming that Fetterman is the D candidate, I don't think that he will do any better than Biden and likely will do worse.
I grew up in Pittsburgh and still have a lot of friends back there. What I posted above was based on discussions with friends that still live in the general Pittsburgh area, including some of the more red parts of the area (like Westmoreland County).
Anonymous
05/16/2022 10:44
Subject: Re:What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Fetterman is struggling in the western part of the state because that is Colin Lamb's territory. Being from Mt Lebanon means he has a lot of Pittsburgh support, even though Fetterman was mayor of Braddock. But once Fetterman knocks Lamb out of the primary, then Pittsburgh will go all in on Fetterman. And Pittsburgh has a lot more votes than the rest of western PA. Fetterman is going to have the East and West and Oz will have the middle of the state. As long as Fetterman can lock up the suburban votes and pull out some of the middle state voters like around York, Lancaster, Harrisburg and State College, he'll win. The key is to get a significant portion of the middle state small city votes and he's been working on that. His support in the small cities is much like Biden's which is why I think he'll do as well as Biden did.
I spend a lot of time in PA including areas near York and Lancaster and have to disagree with this. There is a big difference between Biden and Fetterman. Assuming that Fetterman is the D candidate, I don't think that he will do any better than Biden and likely will do worse.
Why?
Anonymous
05/16/2022 10:34
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:WTH with all of the strokes? Is someone triggering these?
So THREE young Ds in key positions/races have a stroke?
Given the current state of political insanity my first thought is that the Rs are causing the strokes.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 10:33
Subject: Re:What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Fetterman is struggling in the western part of the state because that is Colin Lamb's territory. Being from Mt Lebanon means he has a lot of Pittsburgh support, even though Fetterman was mayor of Braddock. But once Fetterman knocks Lamb out of the primary, then Pittsburgh will go all in on Fetterman. And Pittsburgh has a lot more votes than the rest of western PA. Fetterman is going to have the East and West and Oz will have the middle of the state. As long as Fetterman can lock up the suburban votes and pull out some of the middle state voters like around York, Lancaster, Harrisburg and State College, he'll win. The key is to get a significant portion of the middle state small city votes and he's been working on that. His support in the small cities is much like Biden's which is why I think he'll do as well as Biden did.
I spend a lot of time in PA including areas near York and Lancaster and have to disagree with this. There is a big difference between Biden and Fetterman. Assuming that Fetterman is the D candidate, I don't think that he will do any better than Biden and likely will do worse.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 10:31
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
WTH with all of the strokes? Is someone triggering these?
Anonymous
05/16/2022 10:09
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:OMG, and now Chris Van Hollen had a stroke, too.
Omg scary. The senate is just too close.
+1 He and Lujan who had a stroke earlier this year are two of the youngest Senators. 😬
Anonymous
05/16/2022 05:21
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:OMG, and now Chris Van Hollen had a stroke, too.
Omg scary. The senate is just too close.
Anonymous
05/16/2022 01:03
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
OMG, and now Chris Van Hollen had a stroke, too.
Anonymous
05/15/2022 22:09
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Anonymous wrote:Connor Lamb reminds me of the kid in high school who always reminded everyone how much smarter he was than you.
If he’s just going to be another Manchin, I hope he loses. Enough Republicrats.
Anonymous
05/15/2022 21:05
Subject: What are your thoughts on the Pennsylvania senate race?
Connor Lamb reminds me of the kid in high school who always reminded everyone how much smarter he was than you.