Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Before November? How about by July.
Our curve although bent a little bit, the descent is very slow. This week is the very first week the 2000+ deaths we have been experiencing for weeks drops to 1700 deaths level, still way too high. I can see 200k deaths by August.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Before November? How about by July.
Our curve although bent a little bit, the descent is very slow. This week is the very first week the 2000+ deaths we have been experiencing for weeks drops to 1700 deaths level, still way too high. I can see 200k deaths by August.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Before November? How about by July.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Before November? How about by July.
Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Anonymous wrote:I'm thinking we will unfortunately have close to 200k deaths before November.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Texas reports it largest jump in cases. It is May 14th.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200514/texas-sees-highest-single-day-hike-in-coronavirus-deaths-cases
What happened on May 1st? Oh ya, Texas "opened up."
You forgot this part of the article:
"The increase in positive cases comes as COVID-19 testing ramps up across the state.
Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday ordered testing for all nursing home residents and employees across the state. State health officials also are working to test all employees in some meatpacking plants in the Panhandle.
On Thursday, the health agency reported 35,853 new tests, the second highest increase in tests in a single day. The state set a record one day prior, when health officials reported 49,259 new tests."
More testing...more positives.
Nice try, though.
Your analysis is faulty. If coronavirus tests were administered randomly then, yes, more tests would naturally result in more positives. But coronavirus tests are currently are only given to those most likely to be sick. An increase in positive tests along with an increase in the number of tests means that Texas still doesn't have the capacity to test everyone that is infected. So more positives despite more testing is a bad thing. This is exactly why a decrease in positive test rates is one of the requirements for a phase one opening, which Texas is ignoring. The rate of positive tests is actually increasing in Texas.
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/05/12/fauci-warns-of-really-serious-risks-if-states-open-before-covid-19-cases-fall-should-texans-be-worried/
My analysis is not faulty wrt what PP above posted..."largest jump in cases". An increase in a daily raw number of positive cases can be correlated directly to an increase in a daily raw number of tests.
You are begging the question. You are saying that because the number of tests increased and the number of positives increased, these are correlated. Therefore, of course "more testing...more positives." To think of this another way, in one year will the number of positive tests be positively correlated or negatively correlated to the number of tests conducted?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Texas reports it largest jump in cases. It is May 14th.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200514/texas-sees-highest-single-day-hike-in-coronavirus-deaths-cases
What happened on May 1st? Oh ya, Texas "opened up."
You forgot this part of the article:
"The increase in positive cases comes as COVID-19 testing ramps up across the state.
Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday ordered testing for all nursing home residents and employees across the state. State health officials also are working to test all employees in some meatpacking plants in the Panhandle.
On Thursday, the health agency reported 35,853 new tests, the second highest increase in tests in a single day. The state set a record one day prior, when health officials reported 49,259 new tests."
More testing...more positives.
Nice try, though.
Your analysis is faulty. If coronavirus tests were administered randomly then, yes, more tests would naturally result in more positives. But coronavirus tests are currently are only given to those most likely to be sick. An increase in positive tests along with an increase in the number of tests means that Texas still doesn't have the capacity to test everyone that is infected. So more positives despite more testing is a bad thing. This is exactly why a decrease in positive test rates is one of the requirements for a phase one opening, which Texas is ignoring. The rate of positive tests is actually increasing in Texas.
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/05/12/fauci-warns-of-really-serious-risks-if-states-open-before-covid-19-cases-fall-should-texans-be-worried/
My analysis is not faulty wrt what PP above posted..."largest jump in cases". An increase in a daily raw number of positive cases can be correlated directly to an increase in a daily raw number of tests.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Texas reports it largest jump in cases. It is May 14th.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200514/texas-sees-highest-single-day-hike-in-coronavirus-deaths-cases
What happened on May 1st? Oh ya, Texas "opened up."
You forgot this part of the article:
"The increase in positive cases comes as COVID-19 testing ramps up across the state.
Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday ordered testing for all nursing home residents and employees across the state. State health officials also are working to test all employees in some meatpacking plants in the Panhandle.
On Thursday, the health agency reported 35,853 new tests, the second highest increase in tests in a single day. The state set a record one day prior, when health officials reported 49,259 new tests."
More testing...more positives.
Nice try, though.
Your analysis is faulty. If coronavirus tests were administered randomly then, yes, more tests would naturally result in more positives. But coronavirus tests are currently are only given to those most likely to be sick. An increase in positive tests along with an increase in the number of tests means that Texas still doesn't have the capacity to test everyone that is infected. So more positives despite more testing is a bad thing. This is exactly why a decrease in positive test rates is one of the requirements for a phase one opening, which Texas is ignoring. The rate of positive tests is actually increasing in Texas.
https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2020/05/12/fauci-warns-of-really-serious-risks-if-states-open-before-covid-19-cases-fall-should-texans-be-worried/
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Texas reports it largest jump in cases. It is May 14th.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200514/texas-sees-highest-single-day-hike-in-coronavirus-deaths-cases
What happened on May 1st? Oh ya, Texas "opened up."
You forgot this part of the article:
"The increase in positive cases comes as COVID-19 testing ramps up across the state.
Gov. Greg Abbott on Monday ordered testing for all nursing home residents and employees across the state. State health officials also are working to test all employees in some meatpacking plants in the Panhandle.
On Thursday, the health agency reported 35,853 new tests, the second highest increase in tests in a single day. The state set a record one day prior, when health officials reported 49,259 new tests."
More testing...more positives.
Nice try, though.
Anonymous wrote:Texas reports it largest jump in cases. It is May 14th.
https://www.statesman.com/news/20200514/texas-sees-highest-single-day-hike-in-coronavirus-deaths-cases
What happened on May 1st? Oh ya, Texas "opened up."