Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

Well, do you think Biden voters will vote for the conman, if biden loses? They are simply gonna vote for the winner. The other democrats are only down by low single digits in TX. IN TX, the republican fortress akin to CA, the democratic fortress.

Thank you Mr. Conman Trump for demolishing the GOP fortress and making it easy for Sleepy Joe or Crazy Bernie or Pochahontas to win it.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

I'm sure you do! My take is that we've been watching Biden for four decades now and we're pretty aware of who he is. And in that context, this is a totally small potatoes story. The main takeaway is that he's developing a plan to deal with climate change.

Before or after Greenpeace graded him with a D

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

I'm sure you do! My take is that we've been watching Biden for four decades now and we're pretty aware of who he is. And in that context, this is a totally small potatoes story. The main takeaway is that he's developing a plan to deal with climate change.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

I'm sure you do! My take is that we've been watching Biden for four decades now and we're pretty aware of who he is. And in that context, this is a totally small potatoes story. The main takeaway is that he's developing a plan to deal with climate change.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

Well, do you think Biden voters will vote for the conman, if biden loses? They are simply gonna vote for the winner. The other democrats are only down by low single digits in TX. IN TX, the republican fortress akin to CA, the democratic fortress.

Thank you Mr. Conman Trump for demolishing the GOP fortress and making it easy for Sleepy Joe or Crazy Bernie or Pochahontas to win it.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Well, first of all, let's see if plagiarist Biden even survives the primary...I frankly have my doubts.

Anonymous wrote:
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1136326387298648065

Biden is +4 in Texas in a new poll, v Trump - not so good for the other possible D candidates

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2625

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Other matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll show:
President Trump at 46 percent to Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 44 percent;
Trump at 48 percent to former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke with 45 percent;
Trump with 46 percent to South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg's 44 percent;
Trump at 47 percent to California Sen. Kamala Harris at 43 percent;
Trump with 46 percent and former San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro at 43 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 54 - 39 percent as men back Trump 50 - 42 percent. White voters back Trump 60 - 33 percent. Biden leads 86 - 7 percent among black voters and 59 - 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 8 percent. Biden leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 33 percent among independent voters.

"The numbers are good for Vice President Joseph Biden who dominates the field in a Democratic primary and has the best showing in a head-to-head match-up against President Donald Trump," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:oof

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

Emerson has Biden +12 over Trump in North Carolina

Sanders is +8
Warren is a tie
Mayor Pete is +4

Only potential candidate they have losing to Trump in NC is Harris - there, Trump is +2

Polls are just a snapshot in time. Once My dear leader cranks out his uber energetic, charismatic speeches and mesmerizing tweets, he will come right back up.

Anonymous wrote:oof

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

Emerson has Biden +12 over Trump in North Carolina

Sanders is +8
Warren is a tie
Mayor Pete is +4

Only potential candidate they have losing to Trump in NC is Harris - there, Trump is +2

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Those who think Trump will win again in 2020 (a hex on your souls):

What do you make of the 2018 midterms? Do you think that they weren't quire as good for Democrats as the Democrats and regular analysis seems to think?

Do you think that was an anomaly but the women who voted in Democrats in the midterms will come home to the Republican party in 2020 - and if so why?

You don't need to say the word "borders" or "wall" or "ILLEGALS" because I will just assume that is part of your reasoning. I'd really just like to hear how you incorporate the 2018 blue wave into your analysis.

Not as complex as you seem to believe.

Obama had much more of a thumping in 2010, and still won in 2012.

Same with Clinton if I recall.

The mid-terms tend to have lower participation rates and different dynamics than presidential elections.

You are wrong about participation, as the "poorly educated" often are. 2018 midterm participation was the highest in over a century.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/04/23/trumps-midterm-rebuke-came-most-diverse-electorate-history/?utm_term=.01052bb38f24

Still lower than 2016, right?

"The 2020 U.S. presidential election is rapidly coming into view – and so is the electorate that will determine its outcome.

If these trends continue, it’s a good sign for Democrats; they have a long history of winning over younger voters and women by huge numbers, as well as having a strong hold on urban areas."

https://www.vox.com/2019/4/26/18516645/2018-midterms-voter-turnout-census

"While demographic changes unfold slowly, it’s already clear that the 2020 electorate will be unique in several ways. Non-whites will account for a third of eligible voters – their largest share ever – driven by long-term increases among certain groups, especially Hispanics. At the same time, one-in-ten eligible voters will be members of Generation Z, the Americans who will be between the ages 18 and 23 next year. That will occur as Millennials and all other older generations account for a smaller share of eligible voters than they did in 2016."

https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/essay/an-early-look-at-the-2020-electorate/