Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hogan was on CNBC this morning and stated that the race is neck and neck. He said he was pulling 32% Black votes, and more and more Independents and Democrats were voting for him.

Of course he said that. Do you think he would say "The polling data don't look that great, actually, but I'm still doing great with my core demographic of older rural white voters."

Someone posted the actual poll in the politics forum. That poll had them tied.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The only real reason to vote for the underwhelming Angela Alsobrooks is control of the Senate. On every other level Larry Hogan would make a much better senator.

I trust Hogan to not be the biggest POS like his fellow republicans, so I’ll take the chance in voting for him.

Yes, that strategy has worked so well for Susan Collins.

Anonymous wrote:The only real reason to vote for the underwhelming Angela Alsobrooks is control of the Senate. On every other level Larry Hogan would make a much better senator.

I trust Hogan to not be the biggest POS like his fellow republicans, so I’ll take the chance in voting for him.

Anonymous wrote:The only real reason to vote for the underwhelming Angela Alsobrooks is control of the Senate. On every other level Larry Hogan would make a much better senator.

Yep, totally agree. And it's unfortunately that's where we are.

I don’t think we’re going to get a lot of reliable public polling, at least not until later in the fall. It’s expensive to do, hard to do well, and we don’t have enough strong local media. Maybe the Post will pay for one?

The only real reason to vote for the underwhelming Angela Alsobrooks is control of the Senate. On every other level Larry Hogan would make a much better senator.

Hogan is Mitch McConnell pick

He is the gateway to project 2924 installation

No over time pay none
No fault divorce gone
No interstate travel for women federal abortion and all contraceptives ban
FDIC protection for your money at banks gone . Basically deregulation of banking so they go under you are not protected
No preexisting conditions ie no maternity care covers

Betsey Devos privatization of maternity homes for need mothers remember the ones in the 50s 60s and 70s run by the Catholic Church or other horrible institutions.

Privatization of social security and Medicare trumps pockets will be full

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Dems underperformed polling in 2016 and 2020, meaning they did worse at the polls than they did in the polls.

Democrats overperformed in 2018, 2020, and 2022.

Some people forget that any elections besides the one in 2016 exist.

Anonymous wrote:I'm voting Hogan. Too many Democrats in Congress allowing open borders. And now the Democrats want to tax unrealized gains. 🤮

You were never not going to vote for the Republican candidate, no matter who the Republican candidate was.

Anonymous wrote:Hogan was on CNBC this morning and stated that the race is neck and neck. He said he was pulling 32% Black votes, and more and more Independents and Democrats were voting for him.

Of course he said that. Do you think he would say "The polling data don't look that great, actually, but I'm still doing great with my core demographic of older rural white voters."

I'm voting Hogan. Too many Democrats in Congress allowing open borders. And now the Democrats want to tax unrealized gains. 🤮

Hogan was on CNBC this morning and stated that the race is neck and neck. He said he was pulling 32% Black votes, and more and more Independents and Democrats were voting for him.

Anonymous wrote:Dems underperformed polling in 2016 and 2020, meaning they did worse at the polls than they did in the polls.

Democrats overperformed in 2018, 2020, and 2022.

Dems underperformed polling in 2016 and 2020, meaning they did worse at the polls than they did in the polls.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A vote for Hogan is a vote for the holding up of Harris appointments to the judiciary and federal agencies, should Harris win.

If you want Harris in the White House (rather than just Not Trump), then vote Alsobrooks so Harris can have a chance at governing.

The GOP looks like it will keep the House right now. If they have the Senate and Harris wins, expect at least two years of the stupidest investigations you can imagine plus absurs impeachment of various officials.

We have all seen what alleged moderate Republicans do when faced with placing country over party - they fail that test (see, e.g., Romney and Collins).

What do you base the bolded on? Most everything I have seen says it will be close but the Dems should retake.

I don't have time for the long answer, which involves the recent history of Democrats underperforming their polling and a case-by-case analysis of the few seats that are actually competitive this year.

Short answer is that if you dive into the nitty gritty rather than look at a national favorability poll (or polling average), we are looking at a narrow (again) GOP majority.

Overperforming, you mean?