Anonymous
Anonymous
Anonymous
06/15/2020 09:46
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
By most objective measures, Trump will need something to drag Biden down. He has fallen behind Biden in most swing state polls, and he lags the former vice president nationally by more than 8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Gallup poll last week put Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, down 10 percentage points from a month ago. Democrats appear competitive not only in expected swing states, but in places such as Iowa and Ohio, which Trump won easily in 2016.
Little of that data is registering, however. State and local officials point to Trump’s financial and organizational advantages and see Biden as a weak opponent. They’re eager for Trump to eviscerate him in debates.
I hope polls are as accurate as in 2016...
I feel like little attention was paid to state polls in 2016, and that's not at all the case this year. Or is that just me?
It's not just you. We've all become more savvy poll consumers. It's just that Trump lovers are tying their entire fate to this idea that the polls were wrong in 2016, and so they must be wrong today, and so Trump must be a sure thing to win reelection.
Meanwhile the rest of us are watching the polls through our fingers because we're so terrified they might be right.
Anonymous
06/15/2020 09:17
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
By most objective measures, Trump will need something to drag Biden down. He has fallen behind Biden in most swing state polls, and he lags the former vice president nationally by more than 8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Gallup poll last week put Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, down 10 percentage points from a month ago. Democrats appear competitive not only in expected swing states, but in places such as Iowa and Ohio, which Trump won easily in 2016.
Little of that data is registering, however. State and local officials point to Trump’s financial and organizational advantages and see Biden as a weak opponent. They’re eager for Trump to eviscerate him in debates.
I hope polls are as accurate as in 2016...
I feel like little attention was paid to state polls in 2016, and that's not at all the case this year. Or is that just me?
Anonymous
06/15/2020 09:13
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
By most objective measures, Trump will need something to drag Biden down. He has fallen behind Biden in most swing state polls, and he lags the former vice president nationally by more than 8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Gallup poll last week put Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, down 10 percentage points from a month ago. Democrats appear competitive not only in expected swing states, but in places such as Iowa and Ohio, which Trump won easily in 2016.
Little of that data is registering, however. State and local officials point to Trump’s financial and organizational advantages and see Biden as a weak opponent. They’re eager for Trump to eviscerate him in debates.
I hope polls are as accurate as in 2016...
Anonymous
06/15/2020 08:32
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
By most objective measures, Trump will need something to drag Biden down. He has fallen behind Biden in most swing state polls, and he lags the former vice president nationally by more than 8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average. A Gallup poll last week put Trump’s approval rating at just 39 percent, down 10 percentage points from a month ago. Democrats appear competitive not only in expected swing states, but in places such as Iowa and Ohio, which Trump won easily in 2016.
Little of that data is registering, however. State and local officials point to Trump’s financial and organizational advantages and see Biden as a weak opponent. They’re eager for Trump to eviscerate him in debates.
Anonymous
06/15/2020 08:31
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous
06/14/2020 14:34
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
This poll had Trump winning Arkansas by 23 in 2016 and he won it by 26, so it’s not total trash.
Pretty sure Cotton doesn’t have an opponent, which is a shame.
Anonymous
06/14/2020 13:06
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
I have to think people just realize how demented and incompetent Trump is, and are getting sick and tired of him and his enablers?
Either that or people lying to pollsters so that we get complacent
Anonymous
Anonymous
06/14/2020 12:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous
Anonymous
06/13/2020 19:23
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Wow, good for JJ Watt. Pleasantly surprised.