Anonymous wrote:Kamala Harris's entry has increased the chances for Alsobrooks, and not just because she's black. I know a lot of younger people who were considering sitting the election out with Biden, but they are going to come out to vote for Kamala, and they are probably going to vote for Alsobrooks as well and down the ballot.

+1

Getting a stronger vote out in Prince George's and Baltimore will spell doom for Hogan.

Kamala Harris's entry has increased the chances for Alsobrooks, and not just because she's black. I know a lot of younger people who were considering sitting the election out with Biden, but they are going to come out to vote for Kamala, and they are probably going to vote for Alsobrooks as well and down the ballot.

I'm writing in Trone, I can't vote for her or him

I remember when this thread began and I wondered if we would see any thread with “Alsobrooks” in the title.

Still hasn’t happened. Too bad as I think she will soon have greater name recognition as MD’s junior senator.

Anonymous wrote:Larry is UNlikely to win.

FTFY.

The five largest jurisdictions in MD have about 68% of the voters in the state. The 19 smaller jurisdictions have 32% of the vote. The largest jurisdictions (MoCo, PG, AA, Baltimore City, Howard) have some very educated liberal voters and they understand the difference between gubanatorial and Senate elections are. Voting for a pragmatic Republican for governor is one thing, but voting for a Republican in the current US Senate is completely different. MD has not elected a Republican Senator in 40 years and this year is not likely to change that.

Hogan is the most likely Republican to win a Senate race and I think he will be lucky to come within 5 points of catching Alsobrooks.

Anonymous wrote:Larry is likely to win.

Hi Larry

Larry is likely to win.

Anonymous wrote:Political environment continues to get worse for Democrats.

Not in Maryland

Political environment continues to get worse for Democrats.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That poll is unserious. It doesn’t even have a LV screen.

The Hill.com has her up 8 pts. ALL of the polls have her up by at least 8 pts.

I can’t imagine a world in which Alsobrooks does not win.

Anonymous wrote:I think it was absolutely brilliant of Trump to endorse Hogan. Trump despises Hogan, and with this endorsement, Hogan’s campaign is over. Not too mention Trump controls the RNC and will choke of any funding to Hogan. A double-kill, essentially.

Hogan F’d with The Orange Bull, and he got the horns.

It’s not “brilliant” to be dishonest and corrupt.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That poll is unserious. It doesn’t even have a LV screen.

538 rates PPP as an A-. These appear to be registered voters polled, not likely voters.
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/MarylandResults.pdf

I find it impossible to find 538 polls of Senate races. Can anyone help me out?

I also find 538 to be difficult to find things. So I use Google to navigate 538. I put "538 polls MD Senate 2024" and got to this page:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/maryland/

They have no recent polls after the June 19-20 polls that were immediately after the primary and showed Alsobrooks up 8-11 points.

Thank you!

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That poll is unserious. It doesn’t even have a LV screen.

538 rates PPP as an A-. These appear to be registered voters polled, not likely voters.
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/MarylandResults.pdf

I find it impossible to find 538 polls of Senate races. Can anyone help me out?

I also find 538 to be difficult to find things. So I use Google to navigate 538. I put "538 polls MD Senate 2024" and got to this page:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/maryland/

They have no recent polls after the June 19-20 polls that were immediately after the primary and showed Alsobrooks up 8-11 points.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That poll is unserious. It doesn’t even have a LV screen.

538 rates PPP as an A-. These appear to be registered voters polled, not likely voters.
https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/MarylandResults.pdf

I find it impossible to find 538 polls of Senate races. Can anyone help me out?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

That poll is unserious. It doesn’t even have a LV screen.

The Hill.com has her up 8 pts. ALL of the polls have her up by at least 8 pts.