Anonymous
Post 06/22/2020 20:21     Subject: 2020 Senate Map
Don’t sleep on Kansas.

The extreme GOP is so scared about losing to Democrat Barbara Bollier that they are now attempting to hype one of Kris Kobach’s challengers, Roger Marshall. It won’t work. Kobach will win the Republican primary, but Bollier will win in November.
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2020 19:37     Subject: 2020 Senate Map
If Peters is in any danger it is right on the line between lean and safe.
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2020 15:45     Subject: 2020 Senate Map
FWIW, of the 12 Democratic Senate seats up for re-election, Cook political report has 10 in the more or less safe zone and 2 in some sort of danger zone. The two Dems have to worry about are Alabama ("lean R") and Peters in Michigan ("lean D").

Of the 23 Republic Senate seats, Cook has 9 in some sort of danger zone. The toss-ups are Arizona, Colorado, Maine, Montana, and North Carolina. The "lean R"s are Georgia (x2), Iowa, and Kansas.

Source: https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2020 15:37     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Ugh. A few weeks ago, Colorado seemed like a slam dunk to be turned. Now, things are shaky and we're not even sure which of the Democratic contenders is going to try to unseat Gardner. I still think that Hickenlooper is much more likely to defeat Gardner in the general, but he's stumbled in the primaries and might lose the primary, which I think would be disastrous for the Democrats. I think Romanoff is stronger in the primary with only Democrats voting than he would be in the general.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/21/john-hickenlooper-colorado-senate-stumble-330755
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2020 12:31     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Iowa may be up for grabs, for Pete's sake

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/20/us/politics/iowa-polls-trump-biden-ernst-greenfield.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage

Iowa was not on anyone’s bingo card of 2020 battlegrounds.

Donald J. Trump carried the state by nine percentage points in 2016, and a year ago prominent Democrats in the state passed up the chance to challenge Senator Joni Ernst, a popular Republican seeking re-election.

But with the political ground shifting precariously under Mr. Trump amid multiple crises, Iowa is unexpectedly in play in the presidential and Senate races this year, moving Republicans to high alert. Democrats, who a few years ago were shrouded in despair that their party might never again appeal to white working-class voters, are energized.

A poll published by The Des Moines Register and Mediacom on Monday showed Mr. Trump with only a one-point lead in the state over former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. The poll revealed a deep erosion of support for the president among white women without college degrees, voters who were key to his 2016 coalition across a swath of Midwestern swing states.

The same survey showed that Ms. Ernst, a rising star in her party in her first term, was narrowly trailing her little-known Democratic challenger.

Theresa Greenfield, the Democratic Senate nominee who emerged from a primary on June 2, is running primarily on a biography with parallels to the one Ms. Ernst used to introduce herself to Iowans six years ago: Both grew up on farms, and both have made promises to show Washington their scrappy values of hard work and self-reliance.

But Ms. Greenfield is turning Ms. Ernst’s celebrated anti-establishment catchphrase against her rival.


DO NOT GET COMPLACENT
Anonymous
Post 06/18/2020 20:45     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Hmmmm. I still think she pulls it out Tuesday, but this is interesting.


Ya know... it might be for the best. I think beating Mitch was always a distraction. Send your money and time where it’s needed to actually flip the senate.
Anonymous
Post 06/18/2020 18:22     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Hmmmm. I still think she pulls it out Tuesday, but this is interesting.
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 18:34     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa.....Democratic Senate candidate in Nebraska. Ben Sasse's competition.....



https://apnews.com/db5b8e0b714d76827262eb0381574312

Yeah, this is BAD. Wish he would withdraw, it’s not like he’d be competitive there anyway.


+1 definitely

+2 Yikes.

+3 F that guy
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 18:26     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa.....Democratic Senate candidate in Nebraska. Ben Sasse's competition.....



https://apnews.com/db5b8e0b714d76827262eb0381574312

Yeah, this is BAD. Wish he would withdraw, it’s not like he’d be competitive there anyway.


+1 definitely

+2 Yikes.
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 17:28     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa.....Democratic Senate candidate in Nebraska. Ben Sasse's competition.....



https://apnews.com/db5b8e0b714d76827262eb0381574312

Yeah, this is BAD. Wish he would withdraw, it’s not like he’d be competitive there anyway.


+1 definitely
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 17:26     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Whoa.....Democratic Senate candidate in Nebraska. Ben Sasse's competition.....



https://apnews.com/db5b8e0b714d76827262eb0381574312

Yeah, this is BAD. Wish he would withdraw, it’s not like he’d be competitive there anyway.
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 17:23     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Whoa.....Democratic Senate candidate in Nebraska. Ben Sasse's competition.....



https://apnews.com/db5b8e0b714d76827262eb0381574312
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 16:31     Subject: 2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Republican pollster

Today would be a good day to donate to Gideon


I already have a monthly donation set up for Gideon, but look more closely.

Poll was "conducted late April." An INTERNAL poll that no one chose to leak for 2 months because they thought it looked bad, but they leak it now because they need something - anything - to make Collins look good. That's hilarious.


Holy cow, yeah - good catch!

Anonymous
Post 06/16/2020 16:18     Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 06/15/2020 10:17     Subject: 2020 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Republican pollster

Today would be a good day to donate to Gideon


I already have a monthly donation set up for Gideon, but look more closely.

Poll was "conducted late April." An INTERNAL poll that no one chose to leak for 2 months because they thought it looked bad, but they leak it now because they need something - anything - to make Collins look good. That's hilarious.


Holy cow, yeah - good catch!