Anonymous wrote:https://www.texastribune.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/TPOR-April-2026-TXSEN-poll.pdf

In head-to-head match-ups for U.S. Senate, Democrat James Talarico leads both John Cornyn (+3) and Ken Paxton (+5), powered by leading margins with moderates and independents, per new poll from Texas Public Opinion Research

Hoofah

https://www.texastribune.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/TPOR-April-2026-TXSEN-poll.pdf

In head-to-head match-ups for U.S. Senate, Democrat James Talarico leads both John Cornyn (+3) and Ken Paxton (+5), powered by leading margins with moderates and independents, per new poll from Texas Public Opinion Research

Anonymous wrote:This is bananas when you think of where we were a year and a half ago.

Entire forecast here:
THE ECONOMIST SENATE FORECAST

Projected Seats
🟦 Democrats: 50
🟥 Republicans: 50
——
Chance of winning (projected margin)

NC (D+8)
🟦 Democrat: 90% (flip)
🟥 Republican: 10%
——
ME (D+5)
🟦 Democrat: 72% (flip)
🟥 Republican: 28%
——
AK (R+4)
🟥 Dan Sullivan: 70%
🟦 Mary Peltola: 30%
——
GA (D+8)
🟦 Democrat: 90%
🟥 Republican: 10%
——
MI (D+7)
🟦 Democrat: 77%
🟥 Republican: 23%
——
OH (R+2)
🟥 Jon Husted: 63%
🟦 Sherrod Brown: 37%
——
TX (R+3)
🟥 Republican: 62%
🟦 James Talarico: 38%
——
IOWA (R+3)
🟥 Republican: 65%
🟦 Democrat: 35%
——
MI (D+7)
🟦 Democrat: 77%
🟥 Republican: 23%
——
FL (R+5)
🟥 Ashley Moody: 72%
🟦 Democrat: 28%
——
NH (D+10)
🟦 Democrat: 86%
🟥 Republican: 14%

MN (D+12)
🟦 Democrat: 90%
🟥 Republican: 10%

https://www.economist.com/interactive/2026/us-midterms/prediction-model/senate

This is bananas when you think of where we were a year and a half ago.

Anonymous wrote:News on Nebraska?

Outraising Ricketts seems good for Osborn

Anonymous wrote:Peltola being over 50% is huge.

Yup she gets 49% in Round 1 over Sullivan’s 43% in the same poll. Also has Trump approval at -16.

Peltola being over 50% is huge.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I thought the Sununu name was practically royalty in NH.

It is. That is why he is polling so high.

Anonymous wrote:

I thought the Sununu name was practically royalty in NH.

News on Nebraska?

No complacency.

More Echelon Senate polling, not just Georgia. A-rated Republican pollster.
SENATE POLLING By Echelon Insights (A)

GEORGIA
🟦 Ossoff: 51%
🟥 Collins: 44%
---
🟦 Ossoff: 52%
🟥 Carter: 43%
——
FLORIDA
🟥 Moody: 50%
🟦 Vindman: 43%
——
MAINE
🟦 Platner: 51%
🟥 Collins: 45%
---
🟦 Mills: 48%
🟥 Collins: 46%
——
IOWA
🟦 Walls: 46%
🟥 Hinson: 44%

🟦 Turek: 46%
🟥 Hinson: 45%

for Net Choice | 4/3-9 | LV (avg +/- 6%)

Anonymous wrote:Re-upping my prediction that Ossoff is going to win his “tossup” race by like five points and then instantly become one of the top tier 2028 candidates.

I don't like Ossoff on the ticket for the same reason I wouldn't like Warnock: there are not a lot of Georgia Dems who could take their place in the Senate.