Anonymous
Post 03/15/2026 18:27     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous
Post 03/13/2026 16:08     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Coming up:
Anonymous
Post 03/12/2026 13:15     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Score another plus to the blue side.

The Downballot noted that the results out of New Hampshire marked the 10th time Democrats have flipped a district from red to blue in a special election since Trump returned to the White House. Over that same period, the number of seats flipped from blue to red remains zero.


https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/dems-score-upset-win-hampshire-122844872.html

All the wins: red to blue

New Hampshire state seat -- Trump +9 in the county
TX state seat - Trump +17
LA state seat - Trump +13; Dem +24
AR state seat - double digit win

Those are some wild swings.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 23:32     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 18:10     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Florida is gonna become the California for Republicans, just a dumping ground for EVs
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 16:21     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 16:20     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 16:06     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:


I don’t think those numbers indicate what people think they do. The results are not much different that MTGs 2024 race if you sum up the votes by candidate party. The combined total share of votes for among all 3 democratic candidates is only 40.13%. The democratic candidate got 35.6% of the vote in 2024. So assuming all of these people vote for Dems in the runoff that is only a shift 9 points towards Dems. There is basically zero chance that a dem wins this congressional seat.


I don't think there is any expectation that a Democrat will win one of the reddest counties in the nation. However, they are still overperforming.

This.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 15:18     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:

These two go to a runoff election on April 7. And take a look at the voting in the most Hispanic areas:


Same reason Jasmine Crockett lost in TX, while Talarico ran up his totals in Hispanic counties. I absolutely called that one weeks ago and it wasn't even close.

Hispanic voters don't like to vote for....

Dude, the Dem in Georgia is BLACK. Save your rascism for somewhere else.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 14:41     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:


I don’t think those numbers indicate what people think they do. The results are not much different that MTGs 2024 race if you sum up the votes by candidate party. The combined total share of votes for among all 3 democratic candidates is only 40.13%. The democratic candidate got 35.6% of the vote in 2024. So assuming all of these people vote for Dems in the runoff that is only a shift 9 points towards Dems. There is basically zero chance that a dem wins this congressional seat.


I don't think there is any expectation that a Democrat will win one of the reddest counties in the nation. However, they are still overperforming.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 14:36     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:


I don’t think those numbers indicate what people think they do. The results are not much different that MTGs 2024 race if you sum up the votes by candidate party. The combined total share of votes for among all 3 democratic candidates is only 40.13%. The democratic candidate got 35.6% of the vote in 2024. So assuming all of these people vote for Dems in the runoff that is only a shift 9 points towards Dems. There is basically zero chance that a dem wins this congressional seat.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 13:57     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:

These two go to a runoff election on April 7. And take a look at the voting in the most Hispanic areas:


Same reason Jasmine Crockett lost in TX, while Talarico ran up his totals in Hispanic counties. I absolutely called that one weeks ago and it wasn't even close.

Hispanic voters don't like to vote for....

Shawn Harris, the Democrat, is Black, but he’s a man.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 13:45     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:And in the special election to fill Marjorie Taylor Greene’s seat:

These two go to a runoff election on April 7. And take a look at the voting in the most Hispanic areas:


Same reason Jasmine Crockett lost in TX, while Talarico ran up his totals in Hispanic counties. I absolutely called that one weeks ago and it wasn't even close.

Hispanic voters don't like to vote for....
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 12:53     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:I'm loving the results. BUT, not to be debbie downer, the generic favorability ratings for Dems is still in the toilet.

I fear after Trump is finally exorcised, we won't do as well. HOW do Dems fix this? It's not their policies b/c those poll generally well.

That’s in large part due to Democrats’ frustration with the party as a whole over the past year; it doesn’t mean/hasn’t meant that Democrats aren’t voting for Democrats when given the chance.
Anonymous
Post 03/11/2026 12:41     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
I'm loving the results. BUT, not to be debbie downer, the generic favorability ratings for Dems is still in the toilet.

I fear after Trump is finally exorcised, we won't do as well. HOW do Dems fix this? It's not their policies b/c those poll generally well.