Anonymous wrote:According to the liberal New York Times, Republicans are leading Senate races in critical states:

Montana
Tim Sheehy 52% +8
Jon Tester 44%

Florida
Rick Scott 49% +9%
Debbie Mucarsel Powell 40%

Texas
Ted Cruz 48% +4%
Colin Allred 44%

Jon Tester is done. The NYT has Trump leading Harris 57%-40% in Montana. No way he gets enough ticket splitters to win.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html

I'll believe it when I see it. Despite polling, which is only a tiny sampling of the electorate, results can be very different.

Tester was polling behind in all three of his previous races and has always been a surprising win in deep red Montana. In both 2006 and 2012, he won with a plurality but not a majority of the electorage (in the 49% range) despite polling poorly. In 2020, President Trump tried very hard to unseat Tester, even traveling to Montana four times during the season to campaign for Tester's opponent. But despite that, Tester not only won the election but passed the 50% mark in votes for the first time in his career. And 2020 was one of the highest turnouts the state has ever had for elections.

The real problem is that the majority of the people in Montana that vote for Tester do not receive or answer polls. These are farmers, blue collar workers and people working multiple jobs to make ends meet. They don't have time to answer polls. So there is a huge undocumented portion of the Montana electorate who are very pro-Tester. They like that he is a multi-generational native of Montana that owns and works his own farm. He has values like they do.

Despite polling, I expect this one to be a toss-up and will see where the chips fall when election day comes, but I expect it to be very close and would not be at all surprised to see Tester emerge again as the victor. But, I also won't be surprised to see Sheehy upset the incumbent either.

According to the liberal New York Times, Republicans are leading Senate races in critical states:

Montana
Tim Sheehy 52% +8
Jon Tester 44%

Florida
Rick Scott 49% +9%
Debbie Mucarsel Powell 40%

Texas
Ted Cruz 48% +4%
Colin Allred 44%

Jon Tester is done. The NYT has Trump leading Harris 57%-40% in Montana. No way he gets enough ticket splitters to win.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/10/us/politics/senate-polls-montana-florida-texas.html

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Well, despite the Hogan campaign trying to frame Alsobrooks tax woes as trying to intentionally commit tax fraud, he's still losing more and more ground. MD voters are just not buying what he's selling and definitely do not want a Republican senator from MD.

https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/10/is-national-politics-influencing-voters-in-the-maryland-senate-race-a-new-poll-suggests-yes/

Despite strong favorability ratings and stronger name recognition, Democratic candidate and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks leads Republican candidate and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan by a 48-39 margin, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Institute of Politics.

And yet, you liberals can’t understand why Republicans in Montana want to dump Tester and elect a Republican that more aligns with their policy positions. You keep pretending Tester has a shot to win, when he will lose for the same reason Hogan will lose. He won’t be able to overcome the partisan lean of his state in a federal race in a Presidential election year.

I don't think many Democrats believe Tester is going to win. The only advantage he has over Hogan is that he's the incumbent Senator.

A 3-term incumbent. He's won in the Republican state in 2006, 2012, and 2018. He's a native-born Montanan farmer who still farms his own family-owned land. He's been reasonably popular for 18 years in the same state. So, it isn't that surprising that people thought he would still hold the same advantage he has held in the last 3 elections.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Well, despite the Hogan campaign trying to frame Alsobrooks tax woes as trying to intentionally commit tax fraud, he's still losing more and more ground. MD voters are just not buying what he's selling and definitely do not want a Republican senator from MD.

https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/10/is-national-politics-influencing-voters-in-the-maryland-senate-race-a-new-poll-suggests-yes/

Despite strong favorability ratings and stronger name recognition, Democratic candidate and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks leads Republican candidate and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan by a 48-39 margin, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Institute of Politics.

And yet, you liberals can’t understand why Republicans in Montana want to dump Tester and elect a Republican that more aligns with their policy positions. You keep pretending Tester has a shot to win, when he will lose for the same reason Hogan will lose. He won’t be able to overcome the partisan lean of his state in a federal race in a Presidential election year.

I don't think many Democrats believe Tester is going to win. The only advantage he has over Hogan is that he's the incumbent Senator.

Anonymous wrote:Well, despite the Hogan campaign trying to frame Alsobrooks tax woes as trying to intentionally commit tax fraud, he's still losing more and more ground. MD voters are just not buying what he's selling and definitely do not want a Republican senator from MD.

https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/10/is-national-politics-influencing-voters-in-the-maryland-senate-race-a-new-poll-suggests-yes/

Despite strong favorability ratings and stronger name recognition, Democratic candidate and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks leads Republican candidate and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan by a 48-39 margin, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Institute of Politics.

And yet, you liberals can’t understand why Republicans in Montana want to dump Tester and elect a Republican that more aligns with their policy positions. You keep pretending Tester has a shot to win, when he will lose for the same reason Hogan will lose. He won’t be able to overcome the partisan lean of his state in a federal race in a Presidential election year.

Anonymous wrote:Well, despite the Hogan campaign trying to frame Alsobrooks tax woes as trying to intentionally commit tax fraud, he's still losing more and more ground. MD voters are just not buying what he's selling and definitely do not want a Republican senator from MD.

https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/10/is-national-politics-influencing-voters-in-the-maryland-senate-race-a-new-poll-suggests-yes/

Despite strong favorability ratings and stronger name recognition, Democratic candidate and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks leads Republican candidate and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan by a 48-39 margin, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Institute of Politics.

If abortion and control of the Senate wasn't on the line and if Hogan wouldn't just be another Susan Collins stooge, I'd consider voting for him. I voted for him for governor but wouldn't even consider it now.

Well, despite the Hogan campaign trying to frame Alsobrooks tax woes as trying to intentionally commit tax fraud, he's still losing more and more ground. MD voters are just not buying what he's selling and definitely do not want a Republican senator from MD.

https://wtop.com/maryland-election/2024/10/is-national-politics-influencing-voters-in-the-maryland-senate-race-a-new-poll-suggests-yes/

Despite strong favorability ratings and stronger name recognition, Democratic candidate and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks leads Republican candidate and former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan by a 48-39 margin, according to a new poll released Wednesday by the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Institute of Politics.

Anonymous wrote:In a single day in Philadelphia, the McCormick campaign managed to get itself banned from a popular cheesesteak spot, after lying to the owner that it was an autism awareness event instead, and then chased away from a black church, whose pastor didn't want them manipulating images of his congregation.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/philly-restaurant-bans-gop-candidate-after-he-claimed-campaign-stop-was-autism-event

GOP always send their best cheaters.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Detroit Free Press is behind a paywall. Here is an actual free article with the information.

https://www.deadlinedetroit.com/articles/32374/elrick_i_don_t_know_where_mike_rogers_lives_but_it_s_not_where_he_s_registered_to_vote

Detroit Free Press investigative columnnist M.L. Elrick writes that Rogers' residency, and accusations of carpetbagging, have been an issue since he moved back.

He goes on to write:
=====
I don't know where Mike Rogers lives, but it's not where he's registered to vote.

Rogers, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, changed his voter registration on July 2 to a home in White Lake Township that is under construction. A month later, he used the White Lake address to vote (presumably, for himself) in the four-way race for the GOP nomination to replace retiring U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow.

There's just one problem: The house did not — and still does not — have a certificate of occupancy.
=====

Looks like we’ve found yet another republican committing voter fraud. What was that about projection?

In a single day in Philadelphia, the McCormick campaign managed to get itself banned from a popular cheesesteak spot, after lying to the owner that it was an autism awareness event instead, and then chased away from a black church, whose pastor didn't want them manipulating images of his congregation.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/philly-restaurant-bans-gop-candidate-after-he-claimed-campaign-stop-was-autism-event

Anonymous wrote:

Detroit Free Press is behind a paywall. Here is an actual free article with the information.

https://www.deadlinedetroit.com/articles/32374/elrick_i_don_t_know_where_mike_rogers_lives_but_it_s_not_where_he_s_registered_to_vote

Detroit Free Press investigative columnnist M.L. Elrick writes that Rogers' residency, and accusations of carpetbagging, have been an issue since he moved back.

He goes on to write:
=====
I don't know where Mike Rogers lives, but it's not where he's registered to vote.

Rogers, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate, changed his voter registration on July 2 to a home in White Lake Township that is under construction. A month later, he used the White Lake address to vote (presumably, for himself) in the four-way race for the GOP nomination to replace retiring U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow.

There's just one problem: The house did not — and still does not — have a certificate of occupancy.
=====

Anonymous wrote:53-47


Sorry not sorry, Dems.

That’s what you all said in 2022.

Anonymous wrote:

Detroit Free Press
Michigan GOP Senate candidate Mike Rogers' neighborhoods have everything but Mr. Rogers
Republican Mike Rogers has used two addresses since moving back from Florida to run for the U.S. Senate, but it's not clear where he really...

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:53-47


Sorry not sorry, Dems.

I have to imagine not all GOP voters are this way but why are so many? I'd never say "sorry not sorry, Repubs" because it's just dumb and in the end we all have to share this country (and mostly because it's just dumb). What happened to make you this way?

What do you expect from people who would vote for the grabber Trump?