Anonymous
05/19/2020 14:43
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
The only reason VA was purple in 2016-2017 was a coin flip that went to the GOP after certain voters votes were illegally disqualified.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 14:12
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
You are not factoring in population density.
+1
Clinton won by over 5 points. Obama won twice. Governor, Legislature...Va is blue.
yup Virginia and Colorado are both solid blue now simply due to demographics/population.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 14:03
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Biden isn't just winning Georgia 48-47, per CiviQS' new poll, but Republicans are struggling in BOTH Senate races in the state. In fact, both seats are tossups.
Loeffler is getting blown out of the water —4th place in jungle primary, running 12-13 points behind Rep. Doug Collins in runoff matchups. Her faves are 21-59.
Both Sen. Perdue and Rep. Collins (in special election) are maxing out at 45% in head-to-head matchups with Democrats. Terrible news for Perdue, and not so great for (lesser-known) Collins. Remember, they need 50% to win in Georgia, so undecideds (and turnout!) will decide it.
Biden is 6 points up on Trump.
Georgia.
Holy crap. Registered voters, not likely voters, but STILL.
New Georgia poll, May 16-18 @Civiqs
President:
Biden (D) 48%
Trump (R) 47%
Senate:
Ossoff (D) 47%
Perdue (R) 45%
Special runoff:
Warnock (D) 45%
Collins (R) 44%
https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_GA_banner_book_2020_05_h79s1a.pdf
Anonymous
05/19/2020 14:00
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
You are not factoring in population density.
+1 and totally ignoring Norfolk/Newport News/Chesapeake/Hampton Roads which is growing and getting bluer.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:59
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
You are not factoring in population density.
+1
Clinton won by over 5 points. Obama won twice. Governor, Legislature...Va is blue.
And Kaine and Northam won overwhelmingly. VA GOP is floundering.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:46
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
Henrico and Chesterfield have gone the way of Fairfax and Loudoun, respectively. Hell, even Stafford and Spotsvylvania are trending purple.
Albemarle has gone blue. The cities along I-81 have gone blue. Yeah, a Republican's winning in far SWVA 80-20 instead of 60-40.
Bob McDonnell tried to run on economic issues in 2009 and ended up talking about vitamin supplements and transvaginal ultrasounds.
But before that ... George Allen changed Virginia politics with one word:
"macaca."
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:29
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
You are not factoring in population density.
+1
Clinton won by over 5 points. Obama won twice. Governor, Legislature...Va is blue.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:28
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
You are not factoring in population density.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:22
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
No, VA is still purple. NoVa is blue, RoVa is red. It all comes down to which part of the state turns out to vote. If you get high participation from NoVa, it will lean blue. If you get high participation from RoVa, then it will lean red. The state is sharply divided and still purple. In recent years, there has been higher percentage participation from the Washington suburbs so it has been leaning blue, but if the Richmond, southern and eastern parts of the state start voting in higher percentages, it can easily swing back red. The very definition of purple and swing.
If you want VA to vote blue, make sure to convince as many Washington suburban voters as you can to come out and vote.
Anonymous
05/19/2020 13:03
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
I think Virginia can be moved to the blue column. Ending gerrymandering will at least move the state to a rational debate gong forward.
Anonymous
Anonymous
Anonymous
05/19/2020 12:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Biden isn't just winning Georgia 48-47, per CiviQS' new poll, but Republicans are struggling in BOTH Senate races in the state. In fact, both seats are tossups.
Loeffler is getting blown out of the water —4th place in jungle primary, running 12-13 points behind Rep. Doug Collins in runoff matchups. Her faves are 21-59.
Both Sen. Perdue and Rep. Collins (in special election) are maxing out at 45% in head-to-head matchups with Democrats. Terrible news for Perdue, and not so great for (lesser-known) Collins. Remember, they need 50% to win in Georgia, so undecideds (and turnout!) will decide it.
Biden is 6 points up on Trump.
Georgia.
Loeffler is getting blown out of the water —4th place in jungle primary, running 12-13 points behind Rep. Doug Collins in runoff matchups. Her faves are 21-59.
Both Sen. Perdue and Rep. Collins (in special election) are maxing out at 45% in head-to-head matchups with Democrats. Terrible news for Perdue, and not so great for (lesser-known) Collins. Remember, they need 50% to win in Georgia, so undecideds (and turnout!) will decide it.
Biden is 6 points up on Trump.
Georgia.
Anonymous
Anonymous
05/19/2020 12:10
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
"While the April poll of 600 likely voters favored Kelly 51% to McSally’s 42%, in May it’s now 51%-38%."