Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 11:59     Subject: Jan 25th storm

OP here.

Nothing is ruled out because we're only Wednesday, except the option of no precipitation at all

We are getting a winter storm for sure.

There is a run of models that give us freezing rain and sleet after an early accumulation of snow, which would be disastrous for our power lines and cause widespread power outages. Hopefully this run of models is wrong. All other runs are teetering between 6 and 18 inches of fluffy snow for DC, with various start times between Saturday evening and overnight.

It's still too soon to lock into a prediction. At the earliest, we can lock in tomorrow Thursday.

But yeah... go shopping for necessities, and don't empty the whole store. It's no use buying two entire carts of toilet paper, OK?



Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 11:44     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?


Currently showing 16 in within the beltway IF its all snow and not a mix.


How could we even get a mix with how cold the temps will be?


I think they ruled out a mix. It's snow, the question is how much.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 11:26     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?


Currently showing 16 in within the beltway IF its all snow and not a mix.


How could we even get a mix with how cold the temps will be?
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:28     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:Is there any consensus on when this is supposed to start? Or still too early?

Still too early, but the current consensus is Saturday mid-to-late afternoon.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:25     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?


Currently showing 16 in within the beltway IF its all snow and not a mix.

Doug K, who won't forecast until tomorrow, has at least said whatever it is, it will come as snow.

weather apps are still saying saturday 6pm for us.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:24     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?


Currently showing 16 in within the beltway IF its all snow and not a mix.

Doug K, who won't forecast until tomorrow, has at least said whatever it is, it will come as snow.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:18     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Is there any consensus on when this is supposed to start? Or still too early?
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:10     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?


Currently showing 16 in within the beltway IF its all snow and not a mix.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 09:09     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?

Likely not. It’s looking in the ballpark of 8-12”. 2 feet would be a boom scenario.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 08:55     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.


So 2 feet or so?
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 08:54     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:Any updates to the forecast yet today?

GFS model, which was the outlier that had the storm running to the south (meaning little to no accumulation) has updated and is now tracking higher snow totals similar to other models.
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 08:52     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Is this a marketing strategy to make you slip thousands of $ in jackets, boots, and machines?
Anonymous
Post 01/21/2026 08:46     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Any updates to the forecast yet today?
Anonymous
Post 01/20/2026 20:44     Subject: Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I was planning to drive to NC for the weekend (Friday through Sunday) and now I’m not sure if I should make the trip. Bummer.

I don't think you want to do that. I think wherever you are in NC on Sat afternoon, plan on being there for 3-6 days.


Yeah we used to live in NC, Raleigh, Cary, Greensboro, Asheville not fun in snow or ice.
Anonymous
Post 01/20/2026 20:42     Subject: Re:Jan 25th storm

Anonymous wrote:OP here. This system will be locked in on Thursday, but before then we have some nice fun predictions. Here's the European model giving us 18 inches in DC and suburbs:



Hope this is true.