Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Allred in Texas is closing the gap with Cruz. I just sent him some money. That would be incredible if he could unseat Cruz. Texas is a big diverse state that used to have a significant Dem presence (remember Bob Strauss and Ann Richards?). The time has maybe come for Texas Democrats to reclaim their place. Allred seems like a great guy and Cruz is such a weasel.

We get fooled by the polling every year. I do not believe that the pollsters have solved the undercounting Trump voters issues that we have had every election since 2016. Trump is still the favorite and it will be extremely close. That will make all the Republicans over perform along with him.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Allred in Texas is closing the gap with Cruz. I just sent him some money. That would be incredible if he could unseat Cruz. Texas is a big diverse state that used to have a significant Dem presence (remember Bob Strauss and Ann Richards?). The time has maybe come for Texas Democrats to reclaim their place. Allred seems like a great guy and Cruz is such a weasel.

We get fooled by the polling every year. I do not believe that the pollsters have solved the undercounting Trump voters issues that we have had every election since 2016. Trump is still the favorite and it will be extremely close. That will make all the Republicans over perform along with him.

Vice President Kamala Harris's campaign appears to have Democrats excited about more than just the presidential race now that several key Senate races appear to have tilted to the left.

[...]

The most dramatic polling shift was in the Nevada Senate race, which had shown Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) leading Republican Sam Brown by 7% in May but now shows Rosen's lead up to 18%. The same poll shows, in the presidential race in Nevada, former President Donald Trump leading by 3% over Vice President Kamala Harris, after Trump led President Joe Biden by 9% in May.

The wider lead shown by Rosen in the Nevada Senate race made the group change its rating in the race from "toss-up" to "lean Democrat."

"Given Rosen’s lead and her ability to outrun first Biden, and now Harris, on top of her significant financial edge, we are shifting our rating back from 'toss-up' to 'lean Democrat.' Republicans maintain that when spending tightens, and Brown is able to communicate at a more competitive edge, the race will close once again, and even Democrats still view this as one of their most competitive races," the Cook Political Report's Jessica Taylor said in her analysis announcing the rating change.

Anonymous wrote:Allred in Texas is closing the gap with Cruz. I just sent him some money. That would be incredible if he could unseat Cruz. Texas is a big diverse state that used to have a significant Dem presence (remember Bob Strauss and Ann Richards?). The time has maybe come for Texas Democrats to reclaim their place. Allred seems like a great guy and Cruz is such a weasel.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don Osborn may have a chance to do the unthinkable

In this political climate, he has a good chance.

I still think it wouldn't be a waste of time for Walz to do a little campaigning in Nebraska. Those two additional electoral votes could be valuable.

Anonymous wrote:Don Osborn may have a chance to do the unthinkable

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:According to this, Kari Lake is down 11. If this holds, Arizona should move to the D column. I can't imagine there are *that many* ticket splitters.

https://www.newsweek.com/kari-lake-suffers-polling-blow-arizona-1936759

The crazies like Lake and Trump need to get crushed. It’s the only way the republicans will wake up and rid themselves of this cancer.

Anonymous wrote:According to this, Kari Lake is down 11. If this holds, Arizona should move to the D column. I can't imagine there are *that many* ticket splitters.

https://www.newsweek.com/kari-lake-suffers-polling-blow-arizona-1936759