Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

I saw a lot of signs for Myles. But his platform was the regular Fairfax Republican platform - loony and extreme. This was the best guy? As the conservative pundits are saying today, the Republicans didn't have quality candidates. That's why they lost.

I’m in an area that was in Wexton’s district but now in Connolly’s. There were no signs for either candidate in our area.
I think a lot of us weren’t sure who our candidate was, LOL. There was hardly anyone at our polling station. It was very anti-climactic to go vote on just that one race that felt like a foregone conclusion. I wished I could have voted for Wexton again. I think the Fairfax GOP is loud but not big in numbers.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

I saw a lot of signs for Myles. But his platform was the regular Fairfax Republican platform - loony and extreme. This was the best guy? As the conservative pundits are saying today, the Republicans didn't have quality candidates. That's why they lost.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Because most of us know, my dear, that economy and inflation are NOT under any individual's control. If Republicans had control of the legislative and executive, it would NOT be their fault either!

There is GLOBAL INFLATION, due to pandemic consequences, OPEC hi-jinks in collusion with Russia, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine (with the west laying out consequences for that to shield other ex-USSR satellites, Taiwan, etc and thus protect western-style democracy and our way of life). None of this is under the control of one person, one party, or even one country.

Global price gouging.

Anonymous wrote:

would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

I'm a whiny old white person who has only voted for a Republican candidate once, in a local election. Otherwise, always Democrats.

And there are many like you (I probably qualify as "old" now, too, and am white. I only whine sometimes.)

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Here there was a semi-big attempt to unseat Gerry Connolly in NoVA. I say "semi-big" b/c there were TONS of signs, people with signs at intersections, etc. They were the oldest, whitest, angriest-looking people in Fairfax. Which is fine but does show the demographic that supported Myles, who lost.

Anonymous wrote:

would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

I'm a whiny old white person who has only voted for a Republican candidate once, in a local election. Otherwise, always Democrats.

I'm brown, but all my friends that fit that bucket not only vote democratic, but are out there protesting and getting into good trouble. But, that's also a function of where we live, and who we surround ourselves with. Nationally, old people, especially old white people, overwhelmingly vote Republican.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

I think the polls also did not take into account changes in the composition of the electorate: COVID deaths, people moving during COVID (liberal city folks to more rural areas, conservatives from the Midwest and Northeast fleeing to Florida & Texas), and then the movement of retiring Boomers.

Assumptions about Polling samples were inaccurate across the board.

would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

I'm a whiny old white person who has only voted for a Republican candidate once, in a local election. Otherwise, always Democrats.

I wonder how much the Paul Pelosi attack affected the votes of moderates who were willing to give the GOP candidates a look?

That incident brought up a lot of emotions, similar to January 6. It was a reminder that conservatives are not playing with a full deck and have embraced the conspiracy nut bags.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

They’re the only people that answer the phone calls 🤔

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Yes, those are all elements that suggest that the Republicans should have had a major wave.

But the Republicans have been acting completely entitled to the midterm shift away from the President's party. And so they overreached. The SCOTUS Dobbs decision affected millions of women and young people. It was bad enough that SCOTUS overturned RvW, but then the Republicans decided to double down and start trying to enshrine abortion bans into state law. The numbers have shown that women and young voters registered in record numbers and the turning point was very clearly the month after the Dobbs decision. The Republicans stuck their heads in the sand and kept screaming that no one cared about the Dobbs decision when compared to the economy and inflation because the majority of white male Republicans who were too old to impregnate a woman didn't care about it. Guess what? They were wrong.

As you can see in the multiple states that tried to put abortion bans into state law, the people, including most of the new voters, specifically voted against that. The Republicans could have had a red wave. I think that had they not tried to double down on Dobbs, and just let the abortion issue go, they would have had the red wave. That combined with continued belief in a stolen election, and blindly following a leader who has lost every popular vote he's contested, was a defeat of their own making.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Cry baby.

Not a cry baby, something is off either polling or something else. The news needs to look into how far off things are.

The polls all made the same error. They adjusted for “likely voters” by assuming that white people over 40 would all vote and young people and minorities would not because that’s what happened in 1994 and 2010 midterm backlashes against Dem presidents. They ignored the motivation of young voters and women especially because of abortion and Trump fascists and other crazy Republicans. The polls oversampled whiny old white people.

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

I am worried about crime and illegal immigration. But way more bonkers is forcing 11 year olds to give birth or defending storming the capital and voiding elections. I would consider just about any moderate. Republicans mostly threw them away.

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

Because most of us know, my dear, that economy and inflation are NOT under any individual's control. If Republicans had control of the legislative and executive, it would NOT be their fault either!

There is GLOBAL INFLATION, due to pandemic consequences, OPEC hi-jinks in collusion with Russia, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine (with the west laying out consequences for that to shield other ex-USSR satellites, Taiwan, etc and thus protect western-style democracy and our way of life). None of this is under the control of one person, one party, or even one country.

Anonymous wrote:Overwhelming voters say that inflation and the economy is a major problems but choose to continue to select the Ds the same people. Something is off here and it will be fodder for election fraud conspiracies

What did your party offer other than slogans?