Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I have a friend who is a hospitalist and has worked with Covid patients. She predicts 3 years before schools can reopen and have a normal life back. I was surprised by that but she would know better than me what to expect.
That's about how long the Great Influenza took.
I'm sure they will figure out some way for schools to be open in some fashion, but it will take everyone wearing masks and preventing idiots (or people without child care or paid leave) from sending their kids to school sick.
I think it will be about three years as well, it's going to take some time for a vaccine to come out and then the disease seems to be acting more like the seasonal flu and the vaccine probably won't have 100% effectiveness. If people are willing to go about their business with masks and at least six feet away, then we can start doing more things we want to do.
Anonymous wrote:Some of you are nuts. People will be in concert halls and sports stadiums and arenas at this time next year. And they will be there at full capacity. Schools will all be back next year as well. (One of my kids already is in school in person every day). Either the country will get vaccinated or people will give up on social distancing and masking and take their chances.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I have a friend who is a hospitalist and has worked with Covid patients. She predicts 3 years before schools can reopen and have a normal life back. I was surprised by that but she would know better than me what to expect.
Her perspective has been skewed by her trauma. No way is she a prognosticator.
Anonymous wrote:Random benign questions I have:
- when will Trader Joe's allow baskets again?
- How long are all the SOCIAL DISTANCING!!!!1111 signs going to remain? We know. But how long are the signs going to be everywhere?
- when will the Whole Foods hot food bar come back? Will it ever come back?
- who bought stock in plexiglass, and can you share?
Anonymous wrote:I think next year things will begin to return to normal, maybe during the summer.
Why?
I hope we have a new president. This will mean we'll have more targeted fast testing, which will quickly pin point hot spots, and stamp out any flare ups.
This will mean most of us can go back to normal life. Movies, etc.
I think there will be a cell phone app that will read your results from a rapid test, so you'll be allowed to go into stores, movie theaters, etc. How this will work so people don't switch phones, etc., I don't know, maybe a fingerprint ID system?
Vaccines will start to appear, but it will take time to get most people vaccinated, and to find out if there are any side effects that are dangerous.
Many of the new vaccines will only be 50% effective, so people will still have to wear masks and socially distance.
I think 4-5 years before things really return to "normal", but I may be optimistic. We may never return to the way things were here back in February 2020.
There are so many unknowns. The virus may mutate to the point where it's no longer infectious, or only causes a common cold, nothing nefarious or fatal.
Or the virus may be with us forever, like flu, with different strains circulating throughout the world.
We may need annual covid vaxes in addition to flu vaxes.
BUT given that covid is so much more dangerous than flu, we may still have to wear masks and socially distance if we are not armed with daily rapid tests we can show everywhere we go.
A treatment may appear (like penicillin in the 1940s) that will end the illness.
This all depends on a DEMOCRAT in the White House leading and sending appropriate funding to the correct areas, based on scientific research and advice from experts who actually know what they are talking about.
Pray Biden wins, else this scourge will continue, deaths will increase...no, no no no no
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I have a friend who is a hospitalist and has worked with Covid patients. She predicts 3 years before schools can reopen and have a normal life back. I was surprised by that but she would know better than me what to expect.
The physicians I know share the two to three year time frame. The big elective surgeons who do cardiac and plastic surgery are doing fine but the orthopedic surgeons are not making money because no one wants to risk Covid recovering from a knee replacement in a rehab hospital.
So what? Even people with MDs behind their names have opinions and agendas like any other human. Most of them don’t know any more about infectious disease or epidemiology than a criminal lawyer knows about antitrust law. Most experts are not saying that schools won’t reopen for 3 years.
That’s right. They share an opinion just like you did. Just as a criminal lawyer and an antitrust lawyer share a basic background in constitutional law, physicians share a basic background in medicine. I would pay more attention to the opinion of an orthopedist on Covid than a lawyer.
Anonymous wrote:I have a friend who is a hospitalist and has worked with Covid patients. She predicts 3 years before schools can reopen and have a normal life back. I was surprised by that but she would know better than me what to expect.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I have a friend who is a hospitalist and has worked with Covid patients. She predicts 3 years before schools can reopen and have a normal life back. I was surprised by that but she would know better than me what to expect.
The physicians I know share the two to three year time frame. The big elective surgeons who do cardiac and plastic surgery are doing fine but the orthopedic surgeons are not making money because no one wants to risk Covid recovering from a knee replacement in a rehab hospital.
So what? Even people with MDs behind their names have opinions and agendas like any other human. Most of them don’t know any more about infectious disease or epidemiology than a criminal lawyer knows about antitrust law. Most experts are not saying that schools won’t reopen for 3 years.