Anonymous wrote:Question for people with admissions experience, did the schools where you were have a specific hard number of acceptances in mind when they started the file review? (Eg, "We're looking to accept 30 kids for 20 slots.") Or was it more free-form than that?
12:02 with a belated response to 6:05's post. I would say yes, in my experience there was a target number (or a fairly small range) of acceptances in mind when the file review starts. Basically, schools are dealing with two issues: year size (eg number in the ninth grade); and total school enrollment. Year size is most important for class sizes within the grade, and total school enrollment is important for revenue (in terms of having enough enrollment) and in respecting any ceilings imposed by the facilities or external agreements such as neighborhood zoning or even fire codes. Schools can and do track their "yield" (percentage of admitted kids who attend) over a multi-year period (maybe 3 years) and they use the yield percentage to come up with a range of acceptances which they will try to adhere to in the admissions season. There is some "give" on an individual level up to a point, but, for example, if there was an unusually high yield one year the overall school enrollment picture may mean that the school offers somewhat fewer acceptances the following year both to adjust to a potential sea change in the yield and to pay attention to overall school enrollment numbers. Mostly, though, my sense is that the yields stay relatively predictable, although things like a poor economy (or maybe having the president's kids at your school!!) will cause the admissions types to scratch their heads as they try to forecast.