Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:43     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:So let's get some perspective here. Let's take Italy with its 60,000 million population. They now have 4,825 dead. That's .01% of the population. Tragic yes, but it doesn't look as scary as saying 53,500 diagnosed and 4,825 dead.

In other words, even as it rages in Italy, only 54K of the entire population (rounded up) is infected out 60 MILLION people.


Sure. They are now on lockdown. Lockdown works.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:42     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:It’s not 2% of the population... *bangs head against wall*


Ok it's 2% of 40-70% of the population. Let's call it 50% of the population that will get infected.

That's 115,000,000 people. Thus 1,500,000 dead of the disease and 20,000,000 hospitalized, displacing all the other critical patients, who also die at a higher rate. It's on the order of magnitude of 2,000,000 deaths at a minimum if we don't slow it down.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:40     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

So let's get some perspective here. Let's take Italy with its 60,000 million population. They now have 4,825 dead. That's .01% of the population. Tragic yes, but it doesn't look as scary as saying 53,500 diagnosed and 4,825 dead.

In other words, even as it rages in Italy, only 54K of the entire population (rounded up) is infected out 60 MILLION people.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:38     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

It’s not 2% of the population... *bangs head against wall*
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:37     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.



Would you get on a plane if there was a 2 percent chance it would crash? Shame on YOU.


PP here, yes, I would.


Omg if 2 or even 1 percent of flights in the US crashed, planes wound not fly anymore. That would be over 4K airplane crashes each day (of those landing and/or taking off in the US).
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:33     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


let me put that into perspective. At a typical high school, 40 kids die in a 2% death rate. So, um...
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:21     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


That's in a developed, advanced country that can provide resources for everyone. We are now a shthole nation with an administration that won't even order makes or ventilators. It will be higher here when not everyone can be treated, and that's not even consideeing what happens to everyone else when the healthcare system collapses. Heart attacks and car accidents aren't going to stop just because of covid.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:19     Subject: Re:Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:I am the only one who thinks this is a disastrous over-reaction prompted by the media.

Read the following articles and weep:
https://www.amgreatness.com/2020/03/19/dangerous-curves/
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/




The first article only basically says we are not testing enough to know accurate numbers. I didn't read the second one. Wake up, PP. No use sticking your head in the sand. I know it's scary and denial is more comfortable right now. It's also a lot more dangerous.

Here's Italy today: Italy reports 6,557 new cases of coronavirus and 793 new deaths, raising total to 53,578 cases and 4,825 dead
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:18     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


Yes if 80% of the country gets and a 2% death rate..that’s only 5.232 million deaths. That is not even close to the numbers of deaths in WW2.


That's more than the number of deaths in the US for WWII.


10 times the number of people who died in the US during WW2 (approx 500k).


This needs to be explained more to “common” folk.


Says the person who does not understand statistics.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:17     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


2% is huge. Would you get on a plane or into a car if you had an 80% chance of merely being very uncomfortable, 18% of being injured to require hospitalization and possibly never fully recover and ONLY a 2% chance of death? Because by not stopping this in its tracks, you're saying we should all just get on that airplane.


It’s less than 2, probably considerably less than one. Current testing isn’t capturing asymptomatic who have made up about 50 percent of the infected population in the few areas where general population was tested.


Exactly. Peoples la k of understanding of statistics is mindblowing.


+1
Those of you saying these ridiculous statistics like a 2% death rate - do you realize that is only from established cases? Correct? And there are probably hundreds of thousands if not millions of people whose symptoms were so mild they went undetected. Do you understand how that works?

Someone posted an analogy the other day. It’s like testing death rates of people diagnosed with lung cancer and then saying “100% of people will die from lung cancer!”
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:14     Subject: Re:Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

sorry read: I am NOT the only one...
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 13:13     Subject: Re:Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 12:47     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


Let me guess. You’re letting your kids interact in person with friends.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 12:27     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Less than a 2 percent death rate. No need to overhype things. Shame on you.


Yes if 80% of the country gets and a 2% death rate..that’s only 5.232 million deaths. That is not even close to the numbers of deaths in WW2.


That's more than the number of deaths in the US for WWII.


10 times the number of people who died in the US during WW2 (approx 500k).


This needs to be explained more to “common” folk.
Anonymous
Post 03/21/2020 12:26     Subject: Anyone who still thinks this is no big deal...

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:^^PS, I’m even getting on a couple of planes this week.


That's just idiotic.

Why is the world do you think this is funny or in anyway something to be done at this time?


It’s also careless.

PP gets on plane.

Contracts corona.

Symptomless for 2 weeks, traipses around the country. Handing change to stores, opening doors that moms of nicu babies touch. Picks up can of soda, puts it back. Virus stays on these items for 1-4 days.

Corona doesn’t ever manifest in PP on plane.

But over the course of 30 days, 25 people are exposed inadvertently and do get sick.

They all need to be in a hospital. 12 people need a ventilator. There are on 6 available, which go to the healthiest and most likely to live. Ergo, 6 people die.

It’s irresponsible and careless to not quarantine. There is no cure, there is no government support to increase our capacity, and there is no way to test everyone to know who is and isn’t a carrier or has/hasn’t been exposed.


Oh, I forgot one part. pP on plane who killed 6 people never knows it, feels empowered to continue life as usual, and comes to brag about it and chastise others in an utter display of callous ignorance.