Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.]
If you think the market will not recover ever, or in the next 20 years, then if makes sense to take your money out. But if I think it will what’s the point of taking it out?
I have $20,000 in the market. Why would I just ride it down all the way to potentially 5,000 or 10,000? All the medical professionals are saying deaths are going to spike and the economists are saying unemployment might be at 20%. Why in the world would you think the market is going to go up in the next few months with those stats in mind?
Pull it out now and reinvest when the market bottoms out when hundreds of thousands of people are dead in the US. It is not getting better in the next few weeks, obviously.
This. We rode everything in 2008 all the way down and said we weren’t going to do it again this time - late 40s now. We had a lot hedged already but pulled a ton of money out after the second bad day. I know we will never get back in at exactly the right time but I feel OK about it anyway.
This.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.]
If you think the market will not recover ever, or in the next 20 years, then if makes sense to take your money out. But if I think it will what’s the point of taking it out?
I have $20,000 in the market. Why would I just ride it down all the way to potentially 5,000 or 10,000? All the medical professionals are saying deaths are going to spike and the economists are saying unemployment might be at 20%. Why in the world would you think the market is going to go up in the next few months with those stats in mind?
Pull it out now and reinvest when the market bottoms out when hundreds of thousands of people are dead in the US. It is not getting better in the next few weeks, obviously.
This. We rode everything in 2008 all the way down and said we weren’t going to do it again this time - late 40s now. We had a lot hedged already but pulled a ton of money out after the second bad day. I know we will never get back in at exactly the right time but I feel OK about it anyway.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.]
If you think the market will not recover ever, or in the next 20 years, then if makes sense to take your money out. But if I think it will what’s the point of taking it out?
I have $20,000 in the market. Why would I just ride it down all the way to potentially 5,000 or 10,000? All the medical professionals are saying deaths are going to spike and the economists are saying unemployment might be at 20%. Why in the world would you think the market is going to go up in the next few months with those stats in mind?
Pull it out now and reinvest when the market bottoms out when hundreds of thousands of people are dead in the US. It is not getting better in the next few weeks, obviously.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
So you think a much larger number of people will die in America than China? Really?
This is why these statistics are ridiculous. Give it another two weeks, and the at risk population will be urged to stay home while things will get back to normal. Because the economy cannot take months of this for the rest of us.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
]
If you think the market will not recover ever, or in the next 20 years, then if makes sense to take your money out. But if I think it will what’s the point of taking it out?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
]
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
So you think a much larger number of people will die in America than China? Really?
This is why these statistics are ridiculous. Give it another two weeks, and the at risk population will be urged to stay home while things will get back to normal. Because the economy cannot take months of this for the rest of us.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Conventional wisdom doesn't apply now. We know that 40% to 60% of the population will contract the virus in America and that 1% of these people will die. America has 360 million people. When 1 million people are dead this year do you think stocks are going to be up from their current point? Thinking that that's even a possibility is ridiculously clueless.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1
You have little chance of timing it correctly.
Anonymous wrote:Go watch the video from Italians making the rounds on social media about how they wish they knew what they know now.
This is going to get way, way worse in the coming 2-3 weeks.
We don't have people spilling out of hospitals, gasping for air. Yet.
We don't have home with bodies stuck inside. Yet.
We are all still pretty stocked up but food isn't dwindling. Yet.
All of this is going to be a massive psychological shock when video start leaking on social media of piles of bodies. We will have to dig mass graves or run the crematoriums 24/7.
Vast majority of Americans are not psychologically prepared for the shock that is about to come.
I'm an economist. The best thing we can do right now is shut down everything for two weeks: no airplanes, mandatory country-wide quarantine, close ALL the financial markets. In addition, suspend all debt payments and property rents for two months.
Our entire society needs a time-out. That's the only way to maintain asset values and minimize job/business losses.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Lots of impatient people on here.
We haven’t hit bottom yet.
Wait.
Then buy.
+1