Anonymous wrote:Plumbing. Because there's always some shit to deal with.

Anonymous wrote:Dental hygienist.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Not terribly helpful for DC-based folks, but parts of the private sector are rejoicing about the deregulation happening in the fed. Banking is booming, as is anything related to mergers and acquisitions (legal, accounting, firms that are ripe for expanding, etc.). (The Biden administration scrutinized M&A quite a lot so as soon as Trump was elected, all of the firms in that ecosystem soared in stock value.). Energy is expanding-- partly because it will be easier to expand coal production, etc. and partly because AI requires a ton of energy. So utilities firms are doing well (not sure if this amounts to hiring, though).

For other industries, it seems like there is a wait-and-see related to tariffs. Many of these firms say that federal deregulation will help them expand but they're also wary about potential tariffs. So these might have positions available--neither contracting nor expanding right now. If his first term is any indication, whenever firms are hurt too much (e.g., when the stock market goes down), Trump adjusts. So most managers are tracking this stuff carefully, but not really predicting a ton of hardship. And those companies that are visibly sucking up (e.g. CEOs attended the inauguration) are probably going to be in good shape.

NGOs that rely on federal funding are obviously in bad shape. But advocacy NGOs are likely to expand somewhat.

M&A is actually down right now einstein.

https://www.ib.barclays/our-insights/3-point-perspective/mergers-and-aquisitions-outlook-h1-2025.html?cid=paidsearch-texads_google_google_themes_m&a-outlook-2025_us_m&a-outlook-2025_2369412717580&gad_source=1&gclid=Cj0KCQiA2oW-BhC2ARIsADSIAWqGl7VAZIKvlAm73p1TSKjvjb3mrs6gV_ODl1CsBhFGpbNczwGyp3caApoyEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds


"After years of subdued M&A activity, the stage is set for robust dealmaking in 2025. Following the uptick in transactions in H2 2024, there is continued optimism about a shift to a pro-growth environment with less regulation. According to our Global M&A team, deal volumes could increase up to 15% year on year, driven by corporate ambition, increased sponsor activity and cross border activity."

Anonymous wrote:Isn't big tech not affected? Cyber security? I feel like many industries outside of DC area won't be affected. At least in my circle of friends, no one seems to care except the feds.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:All will be impacted, but there are some positives: the suffering will bring us together to revolt. I cannot see a large population of the country losing their livelihoods and taking it lying down. I mean, what are we supposed to do?

(And by revolt, obviously don’t mean violence, just pushing back).

Oh, I totally see violence

I work for a small construction company and we are expecting a recession.
The funeral industry always has pretty steady business, although it has largely been gobbled up by private equity, like everything else.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Not terribly helpful for DC-based folks, but parts of the private sector are rejoicing about the deregulation happening in the fed. Banking is booming, as is anything related to mergers and acquisitions (legal, accounting, firms that are ripe for expanding, etc.). (The Biden administration scrutinized M&A quite a lot so as soon as Trump was elected, all of the firms in that ecosystem soared in stock value.). Energy is expanding-- partly because it will be easier to expand coal production, etc. and partly because AI requires a ton of energy. So utilities firms are doing well (not sure if this amounts to hiring, though).

For other industries, it seems like there is a wait-and-see related to tariffs. Many of these firms say that federal deregulation will help them expand but they're also wary about potential tariffs. So these might have positions available--neither contracting nor expanding right now. If his first term is any indication, whenever firms are hurt too much (e.g., when the stock market goes down), Trump adjusts. So most managers are tracking this stuff carefully, but not really predicting a ton of hardship. And those companies that are visibly sucking up (e.g. CEOs attended the inauguration) are probably going to be in good shape.

NGOs that rely on federal funding are obviously in bad shape. But advocacy NGOs are likely to expand somewhat.

M&A is actually down right now einstein.

Anonymous wrote:Not terribly helpful for DC-based folks, but parts of the private sector are rejoicing about the deregulation happening in the fed. Banking is booming, as is anything related to mergers and acquisitions (legal, accounting, firms that are ripe for expanding, etc.). (The Biden administration scrutinized M&A quite a lot so as soon as Trump was elected, all of the firms in that ecosystem soared in stock value.). Energy is expanding-- partly because it will be easier to expand coal production, etc. and partly because AI requires a ton of energy. So utilities firms are doing well (not sure if this amounts to hiring, though).

For other industries, it seems like there is a wait-and-see related to tariffs. Many of these firms say that federal deregulation will help them expand but they're also wary about potential tariffs. So these might have positions available--neither contracting nor expanding right now. If his first term is any indication, whenever firms are hurt too much (e.g., when the stock market goes down), Trump adjusts. So most managers are tracking this stuff carefully, but not really predicting a ton of hardship. And those companies that are visibly sucking up (e.g. CEOs attended the inauguration) are probably going to be in good shape.

NGOs that rely on federal funding are obviously in bad shape. But advocacy NGOs are likely to expand somewhat.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm a private investigator whose primary clients are hedge funds. Business is very good for now. My wife works in PR; her clients are primarily corporations.

+1. My DH is a law firm partner whose clients are the above. Even if some clients leave/shrink/disappear, that's highly unlikely to happen to all of them.

Anonymous wrote:Local governments just raise taxes to pay for what they want, so many jobs there are probably safe enough.

Anonymous wrote:Construction

Anonymous wrote:Local law enforcement. As society slowly unravels more will be needed.