Anonymous wrote:Won’t be a Democrat in the White House til at least 2045. So likely be fully conservative by then but maybe on 8-1.

Aww that's cute you still think America with our system of government will exist in 2045.

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Anonymous wrote:Alito will announce in the next few months. Clarence in the next 18 months

God help us if any of the democrats have to retire

I don't think Thomas will retire. His entire time on the court has been getting even furbhid confirmation hearings. Alito probably but none of the liberals are going to retire with Trump choosing their successor.

Sotomayor may die. She isn't in the best of health. If Vance follows Trump in 2028 and has two consecutive terms we most likely will have only one liberal on the court at some point.

Nah, the definition of liberal will change so that Roberts, Kavanaugh and Barrett will be considered liberals.

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Anonymous wrote:Alito will announce in the next few months. Clarence in the next 18 months

God help us if any of the democrats have to retire

I don't think Thomas will retire. His entire time on the court has been getting even furbhid confirmation hearings. Alito probably but none of the liberals are going to retire with Trump choosing their successor.

Sotomayor may die. She isn't in the best of health. If Vance follows Trump in 2028 and has two consecutive terms we most likely will have only one liberal on the court at some point.

Anonymous wrote:Alito will announce in the next few months. Clarence in the next 18 months

God help us if any of the democrats have to retire

I don't think Thomas will retire. His entire time on the court has been getting even furbhid confirmation hearings. Alito probably but none of the liberals are going to retire with Trump choosing their successor.

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Anonymous wrote:Thomas will be 77. Alito will be 75. Sotomayor will be 71. Roberts will be 70.

The Supreme Court will get younger in the next 4 years. I'm sure the old conservatives will be pressured to retire. Thomas may just be cast out for his indiscretions. Sotomayor has some significant health issues. Perhaps Trump decided to pack the court.

Alito and Thomas are going to retire to cushy of counsel positions or emeritus positions.
Sotomayor is going to try to hold on, but we are going to be white knuckling it a bit.

Thomas loves power more than money and he loves sticking it to Democrats. Roberts isn't going to do anything about Thomas's lack of ethics so he will stay on the court and continue to take from his billionaire pals.

Thomas has been on the court for 33+ years, right? Does anyone know how long he has to stay to become the longest-serving justice? It has to be pretty close. How old will he be then?

The record is 36 years, 209 days...so Thomas is pretty close.

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Anonymous wrote:Thomas will be 77. Alito will be 75. Sotomayor will be 71. Roberts will be 70.

The Supreme Court will get younger in the next 4 years. I'm sure the old conservatives will be pressured to retire. Thomas may just be cast out for his indiscretions. Sotomayor has some significant health issues. Perhaps Trump decided to pack the court.

Alito and Thomas are going to retire to cushy of counsel positions or emeritus positions.
Sotomayor is going to try to hold on, but we are going to be white knuckling it a bit.

Thomas loves power more than money and he loves sticking it to Democrats. Roberts isn't going to do anything about Thomas's lack of ethics so he will stay on the court and continue to take from his billionaire pals.

Thomas has been on the court for 33+ years, right? Does anyone know how long he has to stay to become the longest-serving justice? It has to be pretty close. How old will he be then?

Anonymous wrote:Won’t be a Democrat in the White House til at least 2045. So likely be fully conservative by then but maybe on 8-1.

Remember the Supreme Court kicking Jack Smith 8-0 in the shins in 2016!

Hold on to your health, justices, until at least '29.

Won’t be a Democrat in the White House til at least 2045. So likely be fully conservative by then but maybe on 8-1.

Anonymous wrote:As the Democrats requested, Trump will now expand the Supreme Court to 13 members, appointing 4 new ones right away. They'll be confirmed via voice vote and in office by mid-February.

Yep. As DEMOCRATS requested.

Ask, and you shall receive.

As the Democrats requested, Trump will now expand the Supreme Court to 13 members, appointing 4 new ones right away. They'll be confirmed via voice vote and in office by mid-February.

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Anonymous wrote:Sotomayor won't make it.

I hope she does but the betting odds that her replacement is selected by a republican is ~70%.
Even if she makes it to 2029 there is a decent chance that a republican will be getting inaugurated that year.

They can attempt to prop her up like RBG, but that's a long time.

Anonymous wrote:Sotomayor won't make it.

I hope she does but the betting odds that her replacement is selected by a republican is ~70%.
Even if she makes it to 2029 there is a decent chance that a republican will be getting inaugurated that year.

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Anonymous wrote:Thomas will be 77. Alito will be 75. Sotomayor will be 71. Roberts will be 70.

The Supreme Court will get younger in the next 4 years. I'm sure the old conservatives will be pressured to retire. Thomas may just be cast out for his indiscretions. Sotomayor has some significant health issues. Perhaps Trump decided to pack the court.

Alito and Thomas are going to retire to cushy of counsel positions or emeritus positions.
Sotomayor is going to try to hold on, but we are going to be white knuckling it a bit.

Thomas loves power more than money and he loves sticking it to Democrats. Roberts isn't going to do anything about Thomas's lack of ethics so he will stay on the court and continue to take from his billionaire pals.

Thomas has never been the swing vote on any decision.
He could make 10 times what he makes now in the private sector.

Of course he was. Starting with Dobbs.

ETA, there was no swing vote in Dobbs.

Read Robert's opinion carefully. That was a 5-4 vote.

This is the part I think is probbaly most relevant.
"I would take a more measured course. I agree with the Court that the viability line established by Roe and Casey should be discarded under a straightforward stare decisis analysis. That line never made any sense. Our abortion precedents describe the right at issue as a woman’s right to choose to terminate her pregnancy. That right should therefore extend far enough to ensure a reasonable opportunity to choose, but need not extend any further certainly not all the way to viability. Mississippi’s law allows a woman three months to obtain an abortion, well beyond the point at which it is considered “late” to discover a pregnancy."

It was a 6-3 vote on the decision and a 5-4 vote on overturning roe outright.

So? Which of the 5 justices that voted to overturn Roe outright (and not just that part of roe Roberts mentions) did you feel was a swing vote?

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Anonymous wrote:Thomas will be 77. Alito will be 75. Sotomayor will be 71. Roberts will be 70.

The Supreme Court will get younger in the next 4 years. I'm sure the old conservatives will be pressured to retire. Thomas may just be cast out for his indiscretions. Sotomayor has some significant health issues. Perhaps Trump decided to pack the court.

Alito and Thomas are going to retire to cushy of counsel positions or emeritus positions.
Sotomayor is going to try to hold on, but we are going to be white knuckling it a bit.

Thomas loves power more than money and he loves sticking it to Democrats. Roberts isn't going to do anything about Thomas's lack of ethics so he will stay on the court and continue to take from his billionaire pals.

Thomas has never been the swing vote on any decision.
He could make 10 times what he makes now in the private sector.

Of course he was. Starting with Dobbs.

So you think his vote could have gone either way in Dobbs? He was the one on the bubble?
Or do you not understand what swing vote means?

Right now it looks like the swing votes are Barrett, Roberts and to a lesser extent Kavanaugh.

I could predicted how thomas, alito and gorsuch would vote on any case with 100% accuracy.

They have all been swing votes. My point on Dobbs was it was 5-4 so Thomas vs a different new justice would have switched that result.
There are other cases where those three voted differently than expected.

Name a case where you couldn't predict thomas's vote that went 5-4.