Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Dp, facts matter.

There are 50,000 fewer iowa voters today than the 2016 caucus
Trump is barely at 51% and that likely won't change.
Trump will get the majority of the delegates.
Haley and DeSantis will likely get about 5 each.

So, what was wrong or incorrect in the PP's post?

Not the PP who corrected anyone but I think the GOP does winner take all for delegates instead of awarding them proportionally.

Not in Iowa and not in New Hampshire. Both are proportional.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Dp, facts matter.

There are 50,000 fewer iowa voters today than the 2016 caucus
Trump is barely at 51% and that likely won't change.
Trump will get the majority of the delegates.
Haley and DeSantis will likely get about 5 each.

So, what was wrong or incorrect in the PP's post?

Not the PP who corrected anyone but I think the GOP does winner take all for delegates instead of awarding them proportionally.

Wrong
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/iowa-caucuses-01-15-24/index.html

Two words: Mass Deportations

This will be the winning strategy.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Look it up.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:They don’t even care about electability - it’s all emotionally based grievance politics.



Haley supporters had “the right temperament” as their top choice

DeSantis supporters had “shares my values” as the top choice

That's correct. It is grievance politics with most evangelicals, which is most Republicans in Iowa.

They chose Ted Cruz. They chose Rick Santorum. The chose Mike Huckabee.

Anyone remember those presidencies?

The state is not remotely reflective of the US.

You clearly have not been to FL

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Dp, facts matter.

There are 50,000 fewer iowa voters today than the 2016 caucus
Trump is barely at 51% and that likely won't change.
Trump will get the majority of the delegates.
Haley and DeSantis will likely get about 5 each.

So, what was wrong or incorrect in the PP's post?

Not the PP who corrected anyone but I think the GOP does winner take all for delegates instead of awarding them proportionally.

Anonymous wrote:This doesn't help Haley, even if it is by a few hundred votes

She will win NH most likely, but then the next several states are all Evangelicals, who favor the white christian nationalism espoused by Trump.

By “win” do you mean come in second? Because she’s not going to win New Hampshire.

Anonymous wrote:I’m surprised by Haley’s showing. I thought she’d handily come in second.

It's looking pretty in line with the polling, which mostly had her tying DeSantis. It's actually a good showing for her. Iowa is a really bad state for her. She'll be much stronger in NH. This showing is the end of the road for DeSantis. His old hope was to show lots of support with evangelicals and he didn't. He'll be a distant third in NH.

Anonymous wrote:I’m surprised by Haley’s showing. I thought she’d handily come in second.

You thought MAGAs would vote for a woman, much less one who isn't white? Really?

This doesn't help Haley, even if it is by a few hundred votes

She will win NH most likely, but then the next several states are all Evangelicals, who favor the white christian nationalism espoused by Trump.

Anonymous wrote:I’m surprised by Haley’s showing. I thought she’d handily come in second.

Nikki Haley can't change the fact that she's a woman.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

DP - how so? Even Trump was out there telling people it was so crucially important for folks to vote for him that even if they were as sick as a dog they should drag themselves to the polls and then die afterward. Doesn't sound like a guy with a ton of confidence in his chances.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Dp, facts matter.

There are 50,000 fewer iowa voters today than the 2016 caucus
Trump is barely at 51% and that likely won't change.
Trump will get the majority of the delegates.
Haley and DeSantis will likely get about 5 each.

So, what was wrong or incorrect in the PP's post?

MAGA is impervious to facts.

I’m surprised by Haley’s showing. I thought she’d handily come in second.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Low caucus turnout of only about 100,000 statewide. Well below 2016 Republican turnout of 186k. Trump sitting at 51% will get the majority of the delegates but Desantis and Haley will get at least 5 each, probably more. Not an impressive win for Trump and no indication of enthusiasm or momentum.

Everything you typed out is wrong.

Dp, facts matter.

There are 50,000 fewer iowa voters today than the 2016 caucus
Trump is barely at 51% and that likely won't change.
Trump will get the majority of the delegates.
Haley and DeSantis will likely get about 5 each.

So, what was wrong or incorrect in the PP's post?