As a heads up, the raw lottery results data is available at the bottom of this page. The dashboard hasn't been updated yet.

https://enrolldcps.dc.gov/node/61

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

187, 127, 131, 63, 57, 39...TR Young PK3 waitlists from 2018 to 2024.
4, 4, 4, 7, 15...TR Young 5th grade seats offered in lottery 2018 to 2024.

Sadly the data tells us the decline is about TR and not geography of any building.

Man I dunno, looks like waitlists are REALLY down all over the place.

For example, Inspired PK3 waitlist - SY19 307, SY20 205, SY21 179, SY23 142

Maybe people are getting happier with their DCPSes/focusing on those? I do think numbers are clearly down across the board, but numbers at our W6 DCPS are up year-on-year for PK3 (and all but 2 grades). And they certainly don’t follow a steady downward trend over this period.

If anything it seems like numbers were climbing, took a nose dive in SY21, then bounced back in SY22, and either climbed or dipped a little in SY23. I do think people in my area are more comfortable with their IB than they were before, and there's no longer a perceived need to list a lot of schools to avoid going IB.

Seaton SY19 98, SY20 110, SY21 44, SY22 70, SY23 59

Garrison SY19 115, SY20 161, SY21 120, SY22 124, SY23 98

Langley SY19 20, SY20 14, SY21 2, SY22 14, SY23 18 (Langley has Early Action so that muddies the data, the number of initial lottery matches varies year to year.)

Burroughs SY19 13, SY20 48, SY21 19, SY22 17, SY23 24

JO Wilson SY19 76, SY20 78, SY21 78, SY22 24, SY23 35

I can't speak to the others but I think the recent JO numbers are at least partially due to the fact the school is set to be in a swing space (nearby, but not walkable for IB families, which is a huge draw for JO) for the 24-25 and 25-26 school years. If you're an incoming PK3 family, that's really unappealing because K-1st are already usually tough transition years for kids, and adding in a new campus is a lot. But I would expect those numbers to start climbing quickly as the renovation gets underway because JO has a great teaching staff and the potential to be a wonderful IB school. It used to lose a lot of IB students to TR, but people are really disillusioned with TR, and Ludlow is getting harder to get into from OOB. There are a lot of families in the neighborhood and I think JO is primed to start moving in the same direction that L-T recently has. But these few years with the swing space are going to be tough.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

187, 127, 131, 63, 57, 39...TR Young PK3 waitlists from 2018 to 2024.
4, 4, 4, 7, 15...TR Young 5th grade seats offered in lottery 2018 to 2024.

Sadly the data tells us the decline is about TR and not geography of any building.

Man I dunno, looks like waitlists are REALLY down all over the place.

For example, Inspired PK3 waitlist - SY19 307, SY20 205, SY21 179, SY23 142

Maybe people are getting happier with their DCPSes/focusing on those? I do think numbers are clearly down across the board, but numbers at our W6 DCPS are up year-on-year for PK3 (and all but 2 grades). And they certainly don’t follow a steady downward trend over this period.

If anything it seems like numbers were climbing, took a nose dive in SY21, then bounced back in SY22, and either climbed or dipped a little in SY23. I do think people in my area are more comfortable with their IB than they were before, and there's no longer a perceived need to list a lot of schools to avoid going IB.

Seaton SY19 98, SY20 110, SY21 44, SY22 70, SY23 59

Garrison SY19 115, SY20 161, SY21 120, SY22 124, SY23 98

Langley SY19 20, SY20 14, SY21 2, SY22 14, SY23 18 (Langley has Early Action so that muddies the data, the number of initial lottery matches varies year to year.)

Burroughs SY19 13, SY20 48, SY21 19, SY22 17, SY23 24

JO Wilson SY19 76, SY20 78, SY21 78, SY22 24, SY23 35

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How the heck does Two Rivers Young Middle School open 52 spots for 6th grade? FIFTY-TWO!!!! They entire grade is only 100 kids. The draw of the TR elementary schools used to be a MS path. If that ceases to be true, this could be a slow death spiral for the entire TR "system".

Well, they probably think some of their matches won't accept.

Especially with the new Latin campus not that far away, 5th grade is a transition year. ITS, which is not in a problematic or declining state, also makes a lot of 5th grade offers.

Latin Cooper is nowhere near TRY.

It's not that far if you live east of Cooper and west of TRY. And a lot of TR4 families live around TR4, which isn't far from Cooper at all.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

187, 127, 131, 63, 57, 39...TR Young PK3 waitlists from 2018 to 2024.
4, 4, 4, 7, 15...TR Young 5th grade seats offered in lottery 2018 to 2024.

Sadly the data tells us the decline is about TR and not geography of any building.

Man I dunno, looks like waitlists are REALLY down all over the place.

For example, Inspired PK3 waitlist - SY19 307, SY20 205, SY21 179, SY23 142

Maybe people are getting happier with their DCPSes/focusing on those? I do think numbers are clearly down across the board, but numbers at our W6 DCPS are up year-on-year for PK3 (and all but 2 grades). And they certainly don’t follow a steady downward trend over this period.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

187, 127, 131, 63, 57, 39...TR Young PK3 waitlists from 2018 to 2024.
4, 4, 4, 7, 15...TR Young 5th grade seats offered in lottery 2018 to 2024.

Sadly the data tells us the decline is about TR and not geography of any building.

Man I dunno, looks like waitlists are REALLY down all over the place.

For example, Inspired PK3 waitlist - SY19 307, SY20 205, SY21 179, SY23 142

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My general takeaway-- waitlists are much much much shorter than they had been in the past.

What schools/grades are you looking at when you say that?

Seems similar to previous years to me.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Would you be able to accept a CBO ( such as communikids) spot as a backup and then switch if we get an offer to one of our top dcps choices?

Yes

No, this depends on the policy of the CBO. When we went to a CBO three years ago, they required proof that you withdrew from MySchool DC/gave up your waitlist spots to enroll. But some may not require that.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How the heck does Two Rivers Young Middle School open 52 spots for 6th grade? FIFTY-TWO!!!! They entire grade is only 100 kids. The draw of the TR elementary schools used to be a MS path. If that ceases to be true, this could be a slow death spiral for the entire TR "system".

Well, they probably think some of their matches won't accept.

Especially with the new Latin campus not that far away, 5th grade is a transition year. ITS, which is not in a problematic or declining state, also makes a lot of 5th grade offers.

Latin Cooper is nowhere near TRY.

Anonymous wrote:How the heck does Two Rivers Young Middle School open 52 spots for 6th grade? FIFTY-TWO!!!! They entire grade is only 100 kids. The draw of the TR elementary schools used to be a MS path. If that ceases to be true, this could be a slow death spiral for the entire TR "system".

Well, they probably think some of their matches won't accept.

Especially with the new Latin campus not that far away, 5th grade is a transition year. ITS, which is not in a problematic or declining state, also makes a lot of 5th grade offers.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

187, 127, 131, 63, 57, 39...TR Young PK3 waitlists from 2018 to 2024.
4, 4, 4, 7, 15...TR Young 5th grade seats offered in lottery 2018 to 2024.

Sadly the data tells us the decline is about TR and not geography of any building.

How the heck does Two Rivers Young Middle School open 52 spots for 6th grade? FIFTY-TWO!!!! They entire grade is only 100 kids. The draw of the TR elementary schools used to be a MS path. If that ceases to be true, this could be a slow death spiral for the entire TR "system".

Anonymous wrote:388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Ouch. The truth hurts!

Although I will say the location transition of the middle school may have something to do with the 5th grade stats. If you're going to end up at Young campus anyway, why go to 4th at all?

388, 360, 296, 170, 148, 127...waitlists for PK3 at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.
7, 7, 5, 8, 10, 16...5th grade seats offered in lottery at Two Rivers 4th from 2018 through 2024.

Congratulations to the Board of Directors for accelerating the decline of a once great school.

Anonymous wrote:Would you be able to accept a CBO ( such as communikids) spot as a backup and then switch if we get an offer to one of our top dcps choices?

Yes